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Register a new userA shape theorem for an epidemic model in dimension $dge 3$
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Enrique Andjel
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We prove a shape theorem for the set of infected individuals in a spatial epidemic model with 3 states (susceptible-infected-recovered) on ${mathbb Z}^d,dge 3$, when there is no extinction of the infection. For this, we derive percolation estimates (using dynamic renormalization techniques) for a locally dependent random graph in correspondence with the epidemic model.
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We consider random walks in random Dirichlet environment (RWDE) which is a special type of random walks in random environment where the exit probabilities at each site are i.i.d. Dirichlet random variables. On ${mathbb Z}^d$, RWDE are parameterized by a 2d-uplet of positive reals called weights. In this paper, we characterize for $dge 3$ the weights for which there exists an absolutely continuous invariant probability for the process viewed from the particle. We can deduce from this result and from [27] a complete description of the ballistic regime for $dge 3$.
We consider random walks in random Dirichlet environment (RWDE) which is a special type of random walks in random environment where the exit probabilities at each site are i.i.d. Dirichlet random variables. On $Z^d$, RWDE are parameterized by a $2d$-uplet of positive reals. We prove that for all values of the parameters, RWDE are transient in dimension $dge 3$. We also prove that the Green function has some finite moments and we characterize the finite moments. Our result is more general and applies for example to finitely generated symmetric transient Cayley graphs. In terms of reinforced random walks it implies that directed edge reinforced random walks are transient for $dge 3$.
We study a particular model of a random medium, called the orthant model, in general dimensions $dge 2$. Each site $xin Z^d$ independently has arrows pointing to its positive neighbours $x+e_i$, $i=1,dots, d$ with probability $p$ and otherwise to its negative neighbours $x-e_i$, $i=1,dots, d$ (with probability $1-p$). We prove a shape theorem for the set of sites reachable by following arrows, starting from the origin, when $p$ is large. The argument uses subadditivity, as would be expected from the shape theorems arising in the study of first passage percolation. The main difficulty to overcome is that the primary objects of study are not stationary, which is a key requirement of the subadditive ergodic theorem.
We consider two approaches to study the spread of infectious diseases within a spatially structured population distributed in social clusters. According whether we consider only the population of infected individuals or both populations of infected individuals and healthy ones, two models are given to study an epidemic phenomenon. Our first approach is at a microscopic level, its goal is to determine if an epidemic may occur for those models. The second one is the derivation of hydrodynamics limits. By using the relative entropy method we prove that the empirical measures of infected and healthy individuals converge to a deterministic measure absolutely continuous with respect to the Lebesgue measure, whose density is the solution of a system of reaction-diffusion equations.
We investigate an interacting particle system inspired by the gypsy moth, whose populations grow until they become sufficiently dense so that an epidemic reduces them to a low level. We consider this process on a random 3-regular graph and on the $d$-dimensional lattice and torus, with $dgeq2$. On the finite graphs with global dispersal or with a dispersal radius that grows with the number of sites, we prove convergence to a dynamical system that is chaotic for some parameter values. We conjecture that on the infinite lattice with a fixed finite dispersal distance, distant parts of the lattice oscillate out of phase so there is a unique nontrivial stationary distribution.
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