No Arabic abstract
Given a reference model that includes all the available variables, projection predictive inference replaces its posterior with a constrained projection including only a subset of all variables. We extend projection predictive inference to enable computationally efficient variable and structure selection in models outside the exponential family. By adopting a latent space projection predictive perspective we are able to: 1) propose a unified and general framework to do variable selection in complex models while fully honouring the original model structure, 2) properly identify relevant structure and retain posterior uncertainties from the original model, and 3) provide an improved approach also for non-Gaussian models in the exponential family. We demonstrate the superior performance of our approach by thoroughly testing and comparing it against popular variable selection approaches in a wide range of settings, including realistic data sets. Our results show that our approach successfully recovers relevant terms and model structure in complex models, selecting less variables than competing approaches for realistic datasets.
Probabilistic Latent Tensor Factorization (PLTF) is a recently proposed probabilistic framework for modelling multi-way data. Not only the common tensor factorization models but also any arbitrary tensor factorization structure can be realized by the PLTF framework. This paper presents full Bayesian inference via variational Bayes that facilitates more powerful modelling and allows more sophisticated inference on the PLTF framework. We illustrate our approach on model order selection and link prediction.
We tackle the problem disentangling the latent space of an autoencoder in order to separate labelled attribute information from other characteristic information. This then allows us to change selected attributes while preserving other information. Our method, matrix subspace projection, is much simpler than previous approaches to latent space factorisation, for example not requiring multiple discriminators or a careful weighting among their loss functions. Furthermore our new model can be applied to autoencoders as a plugin, and works across diverse domains such as images or text. We demonstrate the utility of our method for attribute manipulation in autoencoders trained across varied domains, using both human evaluation and automated methods. The quality of generation of our new model (e.g. reconstruction, conditional generation) is highly competitive to a number of strong baselines.
Non-linear state space models are a widely-used class of models for biological, economic, and physical processes. Fitting these models to observed data is a difficult inference problem that has no straightforward solution. We take a Bayesian approach to the inference of unknown parameters of a non-linear state model; this, in turn, requires the availability of efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods for the latent (hidden) variables and model parameters. Using the ensemble technique of Neal (2010) and the embedded HMM technique of Neal (2003), we introduce a new Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for non-linear state space models. The key idea is to perform parameter updates conditional on an enormously large ensemble of latent sequences, as opposed to a single sequence, as with existing methods. We look at the performance of this ensemble method when doing Bayesian inference in the Ricker model of population dynamics. We show that for this problem, the ensemble method is vastly more efficient than a simple Metropolis method, as well as 1.9 to 12.0 times more efficient than a single-sequence embedded HMM method, when all methods are tuned appropriately. We also introduce a way of speeding up the ensemble method by performing partial backward passes to discard poor proposals at low computational cost, resulting in a final efficiency gain of 3.4 to 20.4 times over the single-sequence method.
High-dimensional observations are a major challenge in the application of model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) to real-world environments. To handle high-dimensional sensory inputs, existing approaches use representation learning to map high-dimensional observations into a lower-dimensional latent space that is more amenable to dynamics estimation and planning. In this work, we present an information-theoretic approach that employs temporal predictive coding to encode elements in the environment that can be predicted across time. Since this approach focuses on encoding temporally-predictable information, we implicitly prioritize the encoding of task-relevant components over nuisance information within the environment that are provably task-irrelevant. By learning this representation in conjunction with a recurrent state space model, we can then perform planning in latent space. We evaluate our model on a challenging modification of standard DMControl tasks where the background is replaced with natural videos that contain complex but irrelevant information to the planning task. Our experiments show that our model is superior to existing methods in the challenging complex-background setting while remaining competitive with current state-of-the-art models in the standard setting.
Text style transfer task requires the model to transfer a sentence of one style to another style while retaining its original content meaning, which is a challenging problem that has long suffered from the shortage of parallel data. In this paper, we first propose a semi-supervised text style transfer model that combines the small-scale parallel data with the large-scale nonparallel data. With these two types of training data, we introduce a projection function between the latent space of different styles and design two constraints to train it. We also introduce two other simple but effective semi-supervised methods to compare with. To evaluate the performance of the proposed methods, we build and release a novel style transfer dataset that alters sentences between the style of ancient Chinese poem and the modern Chinese.