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Register a new userParallel Multi-Graph Convolution Network For Metro Passenger Volume Prediction
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Added by
Zhenguang Liu Dr.
Publication date
2021
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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Accurate prediction of metro passenger volume (number of passengers) is valuable to realize real-time metro system management, which is a pivotal yet challenging task in intelligent transportation. Due to the complex spatial correlation and temporal variation of urban subway ridership behavior, deep learning has been widely used to capture non-linear spatial-temporal dependencies. Unfortunately, the current deep learning methods only adopt graph convolutional network as a component to model spatial relationship, without making full use of the different spatial correlation patterns between stations. In order to further improve the accuracy of metro passenger volume prediction, a deep learning model composed of Parallel multi-graph convolution and stacked Bidirectional unidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (PB-GRU) was proposed in this paper. The parallel multi-graph convolution captures the origin-destination (OD) distribution and similar flow pattern between the metro stations, while bidirectional gated recurrent unit considers the passenger volume sequence in forward and backward directions and learns complex temporal features. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets of subway passenger flow show the efficacy of the model. Surprisingly, compared with the existing methods, PB-GRU achieves much lower prediction error.
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Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) has been widely applied in transportation demand prediction due to its excellent ability to capture non-Euclidean spatial dependence among station-level or regional transportation demands. However, in most of the existing research, the graph convolution was implemented on a heuristically generated adjacency matrix, which could neither reflect the real spatial relationships of stations accurately, nor capture the multi-level spatial dependence of demands adaptively. To cope with the above problems, this paper provides a novel graph convolutional network for transportation demand prediction. Firstly, a novel graph convolution architecture is proposed, which has different adjacency matrices in different layers and all the adjacency matrices are self-learned during the training process. Secondly, a layer-wise coupling mechanism is provided, which associates the upper-level adjacency matrix with the lower-level one. It also reduces the scale of parameters in our model. Lastly, a unitary network is constructed to give the final prediction result by integrating the hidden spatial states with gated recurrent unit, which could capture the multi-level spatial dependence and temporal dynamics simultaneously. Experiments have been conducted on two real-world datasets, NYC Citi Bike and NYC Taxi, and the results demonstrate the superiority of our model over the state-of-the-art ones.
A unifying graph theoretic framework for the modelling of metro transportation networks is proposed. This is achieved by first introducing a basic graph framework for the modelling of the London underground system from a diffusion law point of view. This forms a basis for the analysis of both station importance and their vulnerability, whereby the concept of graph vertex centrality plays a key role. We next explore k-edge augmentation of a graph topology, and illustrate its usefulness both for improving the network robustness and as a planning tool. Upon establishing the graph theoretic attributes of the underlying graph topology, we proceed to introduce models for processing data on such a metro graph. Commuter movement is shown to obey the Ficks law of diffusion, where the graph Laplacian provides an analytical model for the diffusion process of commuter population dynamics. Finally, we also explore the application of modern deep learning models, such as graph neural networks and hyper-graph neural networks, as general purpose models for the modelling and forecasting of underground data, especially in the context of the morning and evening rush hours. Comprehensive simulations including the passenger in- and out-flows during the morning rush hour in London demonstrates the advantages of the graph models in metro planning and traffic management, a formal mathematical approach with wide economic implications.
Objective: Multi-modal functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) can be used to make predictions about individual behavioral and cognitive traits based on brain connectivity networks. Methods: To take advantage of complementary information from multi-modal fMRI, we propose an interpretable multi-modal graph convolutional network (MGCN) model, incorporating the fMRI time series and the functional connectivity (FC) between each pair of brain regions. Specifically, our model learns a graph embedding from individual brain networks derived from multi-modal data. A manifold-based regularization term is then enforced to consider the relationships of subjects both within and between modalities. Furthermore, we propose the gradient-weighted regression activation mapping (Grad-RAM) and the edge mask learning to interpret the model, which is used to identify significant cognition-related biomarkers. Results: We validate our MGCN model on the Philadelphia Neurodevelopmental Cohort to predict individual wide range achievement test (WRAT) score. Our model obtains superior predictive performance over GCN with a single modality and other competing approaches. The identified biomarkers are cross-validated from different approaches. Conclusion and Significance: This paper develops a new interpretable graph deep learning framework for cognitive ability prediction, with the potential to overcome the limitations of several current data-fusion models. The results demonstrate the power of MGCN in analyzing multi-modal fMRI and discovering significant biomarkers for human brain studies.
Convolution and pooling are the key operations to learn hierarchical representation for graph classification, where more expressive $k$-order($k>1$) method requires more computation cost, limiting the further applications. In this paper, we investigate the strategy of selecting $k$ via neighborhood information gain and propose light $k$-order convolution and pooling requiring fewer parameters while improving the performance. Comprehensive and fair experiments through six graph classification benchmarks show: 1) the performance improvement is consistent to the $k$-order information gain. 2) the proposed convolution requires fewer parameters while providing competitive results. 3) the proposed pooling outperforms SOTA algorithms in terms of efficiency and performance.
Traffic speed prediction is a critically important component of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Recently, with the rapid development of deep learning and transportation data science, a growing body of new traffic speed prediction models have been designed, which achieved high accuracy and large-scale prediction. However, existing studies have two major limitations. First, they predict aggregated traffic speed rather than lane-level traffic speed; second, most studies ignore the impact of other traffic flow parameters in speed prediction. To address these issues, we propose a two-stream multi-channel convolutional neural network (TM-CNN) model for multi-lane traffic speed prediction considering traffic volume impact. In this model, we first introduce a new data conversion method that converts raw traffic speed data and volume data into spatial-temporal multi-channel matrices. Then we carefully design a two-stream deep neural network to effectively learn the features and correlations between individual lanes, in the spatial-temporal dimensions, and between speed and volume. Accordingly, a new loss function that considers the volume impact in speed prediction is developed. A case study using one-year data validates the TM-CNN model and demonstrates its superiority. This paper contributes to two research areas: (1) traffic speed prediction, and (2) multi-lane traffic flow study.
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