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Register a new userDiscovering Equations that Govern Experimental Materials Stability under Environmental Stress using Scientific Machine Learning
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While machine learning (ML) in experimental research has demonstrated impressive predictive capabilities, inductive reasoning and knowledge extraction remain elusive tasks, in part because of the difficulty extracting fungible knowledge representations from experimental data. In this manuscript, we use ML to infer the underlying dynamical differential equation (DE) from experimental data of degrading organic-inorganic methylammonium lead iodide (MAPI) perovskite thin films under environmental stressors (elevated temperature, humidity, and light). We apply a sparse regression algorithm that automatically identifies the differential equation describing the dynamics from time-series data. We find that the underlying DE governing MAPI degradation across a broad temperature range of 35 to 85{deg}C is described minimally with three terms (specifically, a second-order polynomial), and not a simple single-order reaction (i.e. 0th, 1st, or 2nd-order reaction). We demonstrate how computer-derived results can aid the researcher to develop profound mechanistic insights. This DE corresponds to the Verhulst logistic function, which describes reaction kinetics analogous in functional form to autocatalytic or self-propagating reactions, suggesting future strategies to suppress MAPI degradation. We examine the robustness of our conclusions to experimental luck-of-the-draw variance and Gaussian noise using a combination of experiment and simulation, and describe the experimental limits within which this methodology can be applied. Our study demonstrates the application of scientific ML in experimental chemical and materials systems, highlighting the promise and challenges associated with ML-aided scientific discovery.
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Lattice constants such as unit cell edge lengths and plane angles are important parameters of the periodic structures of crystal materials. Predicting crystal lattice constants has wide applications in crystal structure prediction and materials property prediction. Previous work has used machine learning models such as neural networks and support vector machines combined with composition features for lattice constant prediction and has achieved a maximum performance for cubic structures with an average $R^2$ of 0.82. Other models tailored for special materials family of a fixed form such as ABX3 perovskites can achieve much higher performance due to the homogeneity of the structures. However, these models trained with small datasets are usually not applicable to generic lattice parameter prediction of materials with diverse compositions. Herein, we report MLatticeABC, a random forest machine learning model with a new descriptor set for lattice unit cell edge length ($a,b,c$) prediction which achieves an R2 score of 0.979 for lattice parameter $a$ of cubic crystals and significant performance improvement for other crystal systems as well. Source code and trained models can be freely accessed at https://github.com/usccolumbia/MLatticeABC
Machine learning technologies are expected to be great tools for scientific discoveries. In particular, materials development (which has brought a lot of innovation by finding new and better functional materials) is one of the most attractive scientific fields. To apply machine learning to actual materials development, collaboration between scientists and machine learning is becoming inevitable. However, such collaboration has been restricted so far due to black box machine learning, in which it is difficult for scientists to interpret the data-driven model from the viewpoint of material science and physics. Here, we show a material development success story that was achieved by good collaboration between scientists and one type of interpretable (explainable) machine learning called factorized asymptotic Bayesian inference hierarchical mixture of experts (FAB/HMEs). Based on material science and physics, we interpreted the data-driven model constructed by the FAB/HMEs, so that we discovered surprising correlation and knowledge about thermoelectric material. Guided by this, we carried out actual material synthesis that led to identification of a novel spin-driven thermoelectric material with the largest thermopower to date.
Geometric information such as the space groups and crystal systems plays an important role in the properties of crystal materials. Prediction of crystal system and space group thus has wide applications in crystal material property estimation and structure prediction. Previous works on experimental X-ray diffraction (XRD) and density functional theory (DFT) based structure determination methods achieved outstanding performance, but they are not applicable for large-scale screening of materials compositions. There are also machine learning models using Magpie descriptors for composition based material space group determination, but their prediction accuracy only ranges between 0.638 and 0.907 in different kinds of crystals. Herein, we report an improved machine learning model for predicting the crystal system and space group of materials using only the formula information. Benchmark study on a dataset downloaded from Materials Project Database shows that our random forest models based on our new descriptor set, achieve significant performance improvements compared with previous work with accuracy scores ranging between 0.712 and 0.961 in terms of space group classification. Our model also shows large performance improvement for crystal system prediction. Trained models and source code are freely available at url{https://github.com/Yuxinya/SG_predict}
Solar-energy plays an important role in solving serious environmental problems and meeting high-energy demand. However, the lack of suitable materials hinders further progress of this technology. Here, we present the largest inorganic solar-cell material search to date using density functional theory (DFT) and machine-learning approaches. We calculated the spectroscopic limited maximum efficiency (SLME) using Tran-Blaha modified Becke-Johnson potential for 5097 non-metallic materials and identified 1997 candidates with an SLME higher than 10%, including 934 candidates with suitable convex-hull stability and effective carrier mass. Screening for 2D-layered cases, we found 58 potential materials and performed G0W0 calculations on a subset to estimate the prediction-uncertainty. As the above DFT methods are still computationally expensive, we developed a high accuracy machine learning model to pre-screen efficient materials and applied it to over a million materials. Our results provide a general framework and universal strategy for the design of high-efficiency solar cell materials. The data and tools are publicly distributed at: https://www.ctcms.nist.gov/~knc6/JVASP.html, https://www.ctcms.nist.gov/jarvisml/, https://jarvis.nist.gov/ and https://github.com/usnistgov/jarvis .
Synthesis of advanced inorganic materials with minimum number of trials is of paramount importance towards the acceleration of inorganic materials development. The enormous complexity involved in existing multi-variable synthesis methods leads to high uncertainty, numerous trials and exorbitant cost. Recently, machine learning (ML) has demonstrated tremendous potential for material research. Here, we report the application of ML to optimize and accelerate material synthesis process in two representative multi-variable systems. A classification ML model on chemical vapor deposition-grown MoS2 is established, capable of optimizing the synthesis conditions to achieve higher success rate. While a regression model is constructed on the hydrothermal-synthesized carbon quantum dots, to enhance the process-related properties such as the photoluminescence quantum yield. Progressive adaptive model is further developed, aiming to involve ML at the beginning stage of new material synthesis. Optimization of the experimental outcome with minimized number of trials can be achieved with the effective feedback loops. This work serves as proof of concept revealing the feasibility and remarkable capability of ML to facilitate the synthesis of inorganic materials, and opens up a new window for accelerating material development.
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