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We address the estimation of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) when treatments are graph-structured (e.g., molecular graphs of drugs). Given a weak condition on the effect, we propose a plug-in estimator that decomposes CATE estimation into separate, simpler optimization problems. Our estimator (a) isolates the causal estimands (reducing regularization bias), and (b) allows one to plug in arbitrary models for learning. In experiments with small-world and molecular graphs, we show that our approach outperforms prior approaches and is robust to varying selection biases. Our implementation is online.
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Estimating individual and average treatment effects from observational data is an important problem in many domains such as healthcare and e-commerce. In this paper, we advocate balance regularization of multi-head neural network architectures. Our work is motivated by representation learning techniques to reduce differences between treated and untreated distributions that potentially arise due to confounding factors. We further regularize the model by encouraging it to predict control outcomes for individuals in the treatment group that are similar to control outcomes in the control group. We empirically study the bias-variance trade-off between different weightings of the regularizers, as well as between inductive and transductive inference.
Causality can be described in terms of a structural causal model (SCM) that carries information on the variables of interest and their mechanistic relations. For most processes of interest the underlying SCM will only be partially observable, thus causal inference tries to leverage any exposed information. Graph neural networks (GNN) as universal approximators on structured input pose a viable candidate for causal learning, suggesting a tighter integration with SCM. To this effect we present a theoretical analysis from first principles that establishes a novel connection between GNN and SCM while providing an extended view on general neural-causal models. We then establish a new model class for GNN-based causal inference that is necessary and sufficient for causal effect identification. Our empirical illustration on simulations and standard benchmarks validate our theoretical proofs.
Genetic mutations can cause disease by disrupting normal gene function. Identifying the disease-causing mutations from millions of genetic variants within an individual patient is a challenging problem. Computational methods which can prioritize disease-causing mutations have, therefore, enormous applications. It is well-known that genes function through a complex regulatory network. However, existing variant effect prediction models only consider a variant in isolation. In contrast, we propose VEGN, which models variant effect prediction using a graph neural network (GNN) that operates on a heterogeneous graph with genes and variants. The graph is created by assigning variants to genes and connecting genes with an gene-gene interaction network. In this context, we explore an approach where a gene-gene graph is given and another where VEGN learns the gene-gene graph and therefore operates both on given and learnt edges. The graph neural network is trained to aggregate information between genes, and between genes and variants. Variants can exchange information via the genes they connect to. This approach improves the performance of existing state-of-the-art models.
We consider recovering a causal graph in presence of latent variables, where we seek to minimize the cost of interventions used in the recovery process. We consider two intervention cost models: (1) a linear cost model where the cost of an intervention on a subset of variables has a linear form, and (2) an identity cost model where the cost of an intervention is the same, regardless of what variables it is on, i.e., the goal is just to minimize the number of interventions. Under the linear cost model, we give an algorithm to identify the ancestral relations of the underlying causal graph, achieving within a $2$-factor of the optimal intervention cost. This approximation factor can be improved to $1+epsilon$ for any $epsilon > 0$ under some mild restrictions. Under the identity cost model, we bound the number of interventions needed to recover the entire causal graph, including the latent variables, using a parameterization of the causal graph through a special type of colliders. In particular, we introduce the notion of $p$-colliders, that are colliders between pair of nodes arising from a specific type of conditioning in the causal graph, and provide an upper bound on the number of interventions as a function of the maximum number of $p$-colliders between any two nodes in the causal graph.
The graph Laplacian regularization term is usually used in semi-supervised representation learning to provide graph structure information for a model $f(X)$. However, with the recent popularity of graph neural networks (GNNs), directly encoding graph structure $A$ into a model, i.e., $f(A, X)$, has become the more common approach. While we show that graph Laplacian regularization brings little-to-no benefit to existing GNNs, and propose a simple but non-trivial variant of graph Laplacian regularization, called Propagation-regularization (P-reg), to boost the performance of existing GNN models. We provide formal analyses to show that P-reg not only infuses extra information (that is not captured by the traditional graph Laplacian regularization) into GNNs, but also has the capacity equivalent to an infinite-depth graph convolutional network. We demonstrate that P-reg can effectively boost the performance of existing GNN models on both node-level and graph-level tasks across many different datasets.
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