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Bayesian Numerical Methods for Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations

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 Added by Chris Oates
 Publication date 2021
and research's language is English




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The numerical solution of differential equations can be formulated as an inference problem to which formal statistical approaches can be applied. However, nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) pose substantial challenges from an inferential perspective, most notably the absence of explicit conditioning formula. This paper extends earlier work on linear PDEs to a general class of initial value problems specified by nonlinear PDEs, motivated by problems for which evaluations of the right-hand-side, initial conditions, or boundary conditions of the PDE have a high computational cost. The proposed method can be viewed as exact Bayesian inference under an approximate likelihood, which is based on discretisation of the nonlinear differential operator. Proof-of-concept experimental results demonstrate that meaningful probabilistic uncertainty quantification for the unknown solution of the PDE can be performed, while controlling the number of times the right-hand-side, initial and boundary conditions are evaluated. A suitable prior model for the solution of the PDE is identified using novel theoretical analysis of the sample path properties of Mat{e}rn processes, which may be of independent interest.



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In recent years, sparse spectral methods for solving partial differential equations have been derived using hierarchies of classical orthogonal polynomials on intervals, disks, disk-slices and triangles. In this work we extend the methodology to a hierarchy of non-classical multivariate orthogonal polynomials on spherical caps. The entries of discretisations of partial differential operators can be effectively computed using formulae in terms of (non-classical) univariate orthogonal polynomials. We demonstrate the results on partial differential equations involving the spherical Laplacian and biharmonic operators, showing spectral convergence.
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