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Register a new userEstimation of Spatially-Correlated Ocean Currents from Ensemble Forecasts and Online Measurements
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K. Y. Cadmus To
Publication date
2021
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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We present a method to estimate two-dimensional, time-invariant oceanic flow fields based on data from both ensemble forecasts and online measurements. Our method produces a realistic estimate in a computationally efficient manner suitable for use in marine robotics for path planning and related applications. We use kernel methods and singular value decomposition to find a compact model of the ensemble data that is represented as a linear combination of basis flow fields and that preserves the spatial correlations present in the data. Online measurements of ocean current, taken for example by marine robots, can then be incorporated using recursive Bayesian estimation. We provide computational analysis, performance comparisons with related methods, and demonstration with real-world ensemble data to show the computational efficiency and validity of our method. Possible applications in addition to path planning include active perception for model improvement through deliberate choice of measurement locations.
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Underwater robots are subject to position drift due to the effect of ocean currents and the lack of accurate localisation while submerged. We are interested in exploiting such position drift to estimate the ocean current in the surrounding area, thereby assisting navigation and planning. We present a Gaussian process~(GP)-based expectation-maximisation~(EM) algorithm that estimates the underlying ocean current using sparse GPS data obtained on the surface and dead-reckoned position estimates. We first develop a specialised GP regression scheme that exploits the incompressibility of ocean currents to counteract the underdetermined nature of the problem. We then use the proposed regression scheme in an EM algorithm that estimates the best-fitting ocean current in between each GPS fix. The proposed algorithm is validated in simulation and on a real dataset, and is shown to be capable of reconstructing the underlying ocean current field. We expect to use this algorithm to close the loop between planning and estimation for underwater navigation in unknown ocean currents.
Estimating ocean flow fields in 3D is a critical step in enabling the reliable operation of underwater gliders and other small, low-powered autonomous marine vehicles. Existing methods produce depth-averaged 2D layers arranged at discrete vertical intervals, but this type of estimation can lead to severe navigation errors. Based on the observation that real-world ocean currents exhibit relatively low velocity vertical components, we propose an accurate 3D estimator that extends our previous work in estimating 2D flow fields as a linear combination of basis flows. The proposed algorithm uses data from ensemble forecasting to build a set of 3D basis flows, and then iteratively updates basis coefficients using point measurements of underwater currents. We report results from experiments using actual ensemble forecasts and synthetic measurements to compare the performance of our method to the direct 3D extension of the previous work. These results show that our method produces estimates with dramatically lower error metrics, with and without measurement noise.
One of the primary goals of systems neuroscience is to relate the structure of neural circuits to their function, yet patterns of connectivity are difficult to establish when recording from large populations in behaving organisms. Many previous approaches have attempted to estimate functional connectivity between neurons using statistical modeling of observational data, but these approaches rely heavily on parametric assumptions and are purely correlational. Recently, however, holographic photostimulation techniques have made it possible to precisely target selected ensembles of neurons, offering the possibility of establishing direct causal links. Here, we propose a method based on noisy group testing that drastically increases the efficiency of this process in sparse networks. By stimulating small ensembles of neurons, we show that it is possible to recover binarized network connectivity with a number of tests that grows only logarithmically with population size under minimal statistical assumptions. Moreover, we prove that our approach, which reduces to an efficiently solvable convex optimization problem, can be related to Variational Bayesian inference on the binary connection weights, and we derive rigorous bounds on the posterior marginals. This allows us to extend our method to the streaming setting, where continuously updated posteriors allow for optional stopping, and we demonstrate the feasibility of inferring connectivity for networks of up to tens of thousands of neurons online. Finally, we show how our work can be theoretically linked to compressed sensing approaches, and compare results for connectivity inference in different settings.
Recent advance in deep offline reinforcement learning (RL) has made it possible to train strong robotic agents from offline datasets. However, depending on the quality of the trained agents and the application being considered, it is often desirable to fine-tune such agents via further online interactions. In this paper, we observe that state-action distribution shift may lead to severe bootstrap error during fine-tuning, which destroys the good initial policy obtained via offline RL. To address this issue, we first propose a balanced replay scheme that prioritizes samples encountered online while also encouraging the use of near-on-policy samples from the offline dataset. Furthermore, we leverage multiple Q-functions trained pessimistically offline, thereby preventing overoptimism concerning unfamiliar actions at novel states during the initial training phase. We show that the proposed method improves sample-efficiency and final performance of the fine-tuned robotic agents on various locomotion and manipulation tasks. Our code is available at: https://github.com/shlee94/Off2OnRL.
Heterogeneous multi-robot sensing systems are able to characterize physical processes more comprehensively than homogeneous systems. Access to multiple modalities of sensory data allow such systems to fuse information between complementary sources and learn richer representations of a phenomenon of interest. Often, these data are correlated but vary in fidelity, i.e., accuracy (bias) and precision (noise). Low-fidelity data may be more plentiful, while high-fidelity data may be more trustworthy. In this paper, we address the problem of multi-robot online estimation and coverage control by combining low- and high-fidelity data to learn and cover a sensory function of interest. We propose two algorithms for this task of heterogeneous learning and coverage -- namely Stochastic Sequencing of Multi-fidelity Learning and Coverage (SMLC) and Deterministic Sequencing of Multi-fidelity Learning and Coverage (DMLC) -- and prove that they converge asymptotically. In addition, we demonstrate the empirical efficacy of SMLC and DMLC through numerical simulations.
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