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Register a new userRegression Oracles and Exploration Strategies for Short-Horizon Multi-Armed Bandits
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Santiago Ontanon
Publication date
2021
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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This paper explores multi-armed bandit (MAB) strategies in very short horizon scenarios, i.e., when the bandit strategy is only allowed very few interactions with the environment. This is an understudied setting in the MAB literature with many applications in the context of games, such as player modeling. Specifically, we pursue three different ideas. First, we explore the use of regression oracles, which replace the simple average used in strategies such as epsilon-greedy with linear regression models. Second, we examine different exploration patterns such as forced exploration phases. Finally, we introduce a new variant of the UCB1 strategy called UCBT that has interesting properties and no tunable parameters. We present experimental results in a domain motivated by exergames, where the goal is to maximize a players daily steps. Our results show that the combination of epsilon-greedy or epsilon-decreasing with regression oracles outperforms all other tested strategies in the short horizon setting.
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This paper studies a new variant of the stochastic multi-armed bandits problem, where the learner has access to auxiliary information about the arms. The auxiliary information is correlated with the arm rewards, which we treat as control variates. In many applications, the arm rewards are a function of some exogenous values, whose mean value is known a priori from historical data and hence can be used as control variates. We use the control variates to obtain mean estimates with smaller variance and tighter confidence bounds. We then develop an algorithm named UCB-CV that uses improved estimates. We characterize the regret bounds in terms of the correlation between the rewards and control variates. The experiments on synthetic data validate the performance guarantees of our proposed algorithm.
We study incentivized exploration for the multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem where the players receive compensation for exploring arms other than the greedy choice and may provide biased feedback on reward. We seek to understand the impact of this drifted reward feedback by analyzing the performance of three instantiations of the incentivized MAB algorithm: UCB, $varepsilon$-Greedy, and Thompson Sampling. Our results show that they all achieve $mathcal{O}(log T)$ regret and compensation under the drifted reward, and are therefore effective in incentivizing exploration. Numerical examples are provided to complement the theoretical analysis.
We propose an online algorithm for cumulative regret minimization in a stochastic multi-armed bandit. The algorithm adds $O(t)$ i.i.d. pseudo-rewards to its history in round $t$ and then pulls the arm with the highest average reward in its perturbed history. Therefore, we call it perturbed-history exploration (PHE). The pseudo-rewards are carefully designed to offset potentially underestimated mean rewards of arms with a high probability. We derive near-optimal gap-dependent and gap-free bounds on the $n$-round regret of PHE. The key step in our analysis is a novel argument that shows that randomized Bernoulli rewards lead to optimism. Finally, we empirically evaluate PHE and show that it is competitive with state-of-the-art baselines.
Identifying the best arm of a multi-armed bandit is a central problem in bandit optimization. We study a quantum computational version of this problem with coherent oracle access to states encoding the reward probabilities of each arm as quantum amplitudes. Specifically, we show that we can find the best arm with fixed confidence using $tilde{O}bigl(sqrt{sum_{i=2}^nDelta^{smash{-2}}_i}bigr)$ quantum queries, where $Delta_{i}$ represents the difference between the mean reward of the best arm and the $i^text{th}$-best arm. This algorithm, based on variable-time amplitude amplification and estimation, gives a quadratic speedup compared to the best possible classical result. We also prove a matching quantum lower bound (up to poly-logarithmic factors).
We propose a generalization of the best arm identification problem in stochastic multi-armed bandits (MAB) to the setting where every pull of an arm is associated with delayed feedback. The delay in feedback increases the effective sample complexity of standard algorithms, but can be offset if we have access to partial feedback received before a pull is completed. We propose a general framework to model the relationship between partial and delayed feedback, and as a special case we introduce efficient algorithms for settings where the partial feedback are biased or unbiased estimators of the delayed feedback. Additionally, we propose a novel extension of the algorithms to the parallel MAB setting where an agent can control a batch of arms. Our experiments in real-world settings, involving policy search and hyperparameter optimization in computational sustainability domains for fast charging of batteries and wildlife corridor construction, demonstrate that exploiting the structure of partial feedback can lead to significant improvements over baselines in both sequential and parallel MAB.
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