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Register a new userThe Combinatorial Multi-Bandit Problem and its Application to Energy Management
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Tobias Jacobs
Publication date
2020
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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We study a Combinatorial Multi-Bandit Problem motivated by applications in energy systems management. Given multiple probabilistic multi-arm bandits with unknown outcome distributions, the task is to optimize the value of a combinatorial objective function mapping the vector of individual bandit outcomes to a single scalar reward. Unlike in single-bandit problems with multi-dimensional action space, the outcomes of the individual bandits are observable in our setting and the objective function is known. Guided by the hypothesis that individual observability enables better trade-offs between exploration and exploitation, we generalize the lower regret bound for single bandits, showing that indeed for multiple bandits it admits parallelized exploration. For our energy management application we propose a range of algorithms that combine exploration principles for multi-arm bandits with mathematical programming. In an experimental study we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach to learn action assignments for 150 bandits, each having 24 actions, within a horizon of 365 episodes.
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Proxy causal learning (PCL) is a method for estimating the causal effect of treatments on outcomes in the presence of unobserved confounding, using proxies (structured side information) for the confounder. This is achieved via two-stage regression: in the first stage, we model relations among the treatment and proxies; in the second stage, we use this model to learn the effect of treatment on the outcome, given the context provided by the proxies. PCL guarantees recovery of the true causal effect, subject to identifiability conditions. We propose a novel method for PCL, the deep feature proxy variable method (DFPV), to address the case where the proxies, treatments, and outcomes are high-dimensional and have nonlinear complex relationships, as represented by deep neural network features. We show that DFPV outperforms recent state-of-the-art PCL methods on challenging synthetic benchmarks, including settings involving high dimensional image data. Furthermore, we show that PCL can be applied to off-policy evaluation for the confounded bandit problem, in which DFPV also exhibits competitive performance.
Conservative mechanism is a desirable property in decision-making problems which balance the tradeoff between the exploration and exploitation. We propose the novel emph{conservative contextual combinatorial cascading bandit ($C^4$-bandit)}, a cascading online learning game which incorporates the conservative mechanism. At each time step, the learning agent is given some contexts and has to recommend a list of items but not worse than the base strategy and then observes the reward by some stopping rules. We design the $C^4$-UCB algorithm to solve the problem and prove its n-step upper regret bound for two situations: known baseline reward and unknown baseline reward. The regret in both situations can be decomposed into two terms: (a) the upper bound for the general contextual combinatorial cascading bandit; and (b) a constant term for the regret from the conservative mechanism. We also improve the bound of the conservative contextual combinatorial bandit as a by-product. Experiments on synthetic data demonstrate its advantages and validate our theoretical analysis.
In this paper, we propose a new multi-armed bandit problem called the Gamblers Ruin Bandit Problem (GRBP). In the GRBP, the learner proceeds in a sequence of rounds, where each round is a Markov Decision Process (MDP) with two actions (arms): a continuation action that moves the learner randomly over the state space around the current state; and a terminal action that moves the learner directly into one of the two terminal states (goal and dead-end state). The current round ends when a terminal state is reached, and the learner incurs a positive reward only when the goal state is reached. The objective of the learner is to maximize its long-term reward (expected number of times the goal state is reached), without having any prior knowledge on the state transition probabilities. We first prove a result on the form of the optimal policy for the GRBP. Then, we define the regret of the learner with respect to an omnipotent oracle, which acts optimally in each round, and prove that it increases logarithmically over rounds. We also identify a condition under which the learners regret is bounded. A potential application of the GRBP is optimal medical treatment assignment, in which the continuation action corresponds to a conservative treatment and the terminal action corresponds to a risky treatment such as surgery.
The Thresholding Bandit Problem (TBP) aims to find the set of arms with mean rewards greater than a given threshold. We consider a new setting of TBP, where in addition to pulling arms, one can also emph{duel} two arms and get the arm with a greater mean. In our motivating application from crowdsourcing, dueling two arms can be more cost-effective and time-efficient than direct pulls. We refer to this problem as TBP with Dueling Choices (TBP-DC). This paper provides an algorithm called Rank-Search (RS) for solving TBP-DC by alternating between ranking and binary search. We prove theoretical guarantees for RS, and also give lower bounds to show the optimality of it. Experiments show that RS outperforms previous baseline algorithms that only use pulls or duels.
Combinatorial optimization is one of the fundamental research fields that has been extensively studied in theoretical computer science and operations research. When developing an algorithm for combinatorial optimization, it is commonly assumed that parameters such as edge weights are exactly known as inputs. However, this assumption may not be fulfilled since input parameters are often uncertain or initially unknown in many applications such as recommender systems, crowdsourcing, communication networks, and online advertisement. To resolve such uncertainty, the problem of combinatorial pure exploration of multi-armed bandits (CPE) and its variants have recieved increasing attention. Earlier work on CPE has studied the semi-bandit feedback or assumed that the outcome from each individual edge is always accessible at all rounds. However, due to practical constraints such as a budget ceiling or privacy concern, such strong feedback is not always available in recent applications. In this article, we review recently proposed techniques for combinatorial pure exploration problems with limited feedback.
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