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Register a new userGitEvolve: Predicting the Evolution of GitHub Repositories
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Honglu Zhou
Publication date
2020
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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Software development is becoming increasingly open and collaborative with the advent of platforms such as GitHub. Given its crucial role, there is a need to better understand and model the dynamics of GitHub as a social platform. Previous work has mostly considered the dynamics of traditional social networking sites like Twitter and Facebook. We propose GitEvolve, a system to predict the evolution of GitHub repositories and the different ways by which users interact with them. To this end, we develop an end-to-end multi-task sequential deep neural network that given some seed events, simultaneously predicts which user-group is next going to interact with a given repository, what the type of the interaction is, and when it happens. To facilitate learning, we use graph based representation learning to encode relationship between repositories. We map users to groups by modelling common interests to better predict popularity and to generalize to unseen users during inference. We introduce an artificial event type to better model varying levels of activity of repositories in the dataset. The proposed multi-task architecture is generic and can be extended to model information diffusion in other social networks. In a series of experiments, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model, using multiple metrics and baselines. Qualitative analysis of the models ability to predict popularity and forecast trends proves its applicability.
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GitHub has become an important platform for code sharing and scientific exchange. With the massive number of repositories available, there is a pressing need for topic-based search. Even though the topic label functionality has been introduced, the majority of GitHub repositories do not have any labels, impeding the utility of search and topic-based analysis. This work targets the automatic repository classification problem as textit{keyword-driven hierarchical classification}. Specifically, users only need to provide a label hierarchy with keywords to supply as supervision. This setting is flexible, adaptive to the users needs, accounts for the different granularity of topic labels and requires minimal human effort. We identify three key challenges of this problem, namely (1) the presence of multi-modal signals; (2) supervision scarcity and bias; (3) supervision format mismatch. In recognition of these challenges, we propose the textsc{HiGitClass} framework, comprising of three modules: heterogeneous information network embedding; keyword enrichment; topic modeling and pseudo document generation. Experimental results on two GitHub repository collections confirm that textsc{HiGitClass} is superior to existing weakly-supervised and dataless hierarchical classification methods, especially in its ability to integrate both structured and unstructured data for repository classification.
Increased availability of epidemiological data, novel digital data streams, and the rise of powerful machine learning approaches have generated a surge of research activity on real-time epidemic forecast systems. In this paper, we propose the use of a novel data source, namely retail market data to improve seasonal influenza forecasting. Specifically, we consider supermarket retail data as a proxy signal for influenza, through the identification of sentinel baskets, i.e., products bought together by a population of selected customers. We develop a nowcasting and forecasting framework that provides estimates for influenza incidence in Italy up to 4 weeks ahead. We make use of the Support Vector Regression (SVR) model to produce the predictions of seasonal flu incidence. Our predictions outperform both a baseline autoregressive model and a second baseline based on product purchases. The results show quantitatively the value of incorporating retail market data in forecasting models, acting as a proxy that can be used for the real-time analysis of epidemics.
Many real-world systems can be expressed in temporal networks with nodes playing far different roles in structure and function and edges representing the relationships between nodes. Identifying critical nodes can help us control the spread of public opinions or epidemics, predict leading figures in academia, conduct advertisements for various commodities, and so on. However, it is rather difficult to identify critical nodes because the network structure changes over time in temporal networks. In this paper, considering the sequence topological information of temporal networks, a novel and effective learning framework based on the combination of special GCNs and RNNs is proposed to identify nodes with the best spreading ability. The effectiveness of the approach is evaluated by weighted Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model. Experimental results on four real-world temporal networks demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms both traditional and deep learning benchmark methods in terms of the Kendall $tau$ coefficient and top $k$ hit rate.
This paper has been withdrawn from arXiv.org due to a disagreement among the authors related to several peer-review comments received prior to submission on arXiv.org. Even though the current version of this paper is withdrawn, there was no disagreement between authors on the novel work in this paper. One specific issue was the discussion of related work by Ikehara & Clauset (found on page 8 of the previously posted version). Peer-review comments on a similar version made ALL authors aware that the discussion misrepresented their work prior to submission to arXiv.org. However, some authors choose to post to arXiv a minimally updated version without the consent of all authors or properly addressing this attribution issue. ================ Original Paper Abstract: Complex networks are often categorized according to the underlying phenomena that they represent such as molecular interactions, re-tweets, and brain activity. In this work, we investigate the problem of predicting the category (domain) of arbitrary networks. This includes complex networks from different domains as well as synthetically generated graphs from five different network models. A classification accuracy of $96.6%$ is achieved using a random forest classifier with both real and synthetic networks. This work makes two important findings. First, our results indicate that complex networks from various domains have distinct structural properties that allow us to predict with high accuracy the category of a new previously unseen network. Second, synthetic graphs are trivial to classify as the classification model can predict with near-certainty the network model used to generate it. Overall, the results demonstrate that networks drawn from different domains (and network models) are trivial to distinguish using only a handful of simple structural properties.
GitHub has become a popular social application platform, where a large number of users post their open source projects. In particular, an increasing number of researchers release repositories of source code related to their research papers in order to attract more people to follow their work. Motivated by this trend, we describe a novel item-item cross-platform recommender system, $textit{paper2repo}$, that recommends relevant repositories on GitHub that match a given paper in an academic search system such as Microsoft Academic. The key challenge is to identify the similarity between an input paper and its related repositories across the two platforms, $textit{without the benefit of human labeling}$. Towards that end, paper2repo integrates text encoding and constrained graph convolutional networks (GCN) to automatically learn and map the embeddings of papers and repositories into the same space, where proximity offers the basis for recommendation. To make our method more practical in real life systems, labels used for model training are computed automatically from features of user actions on GitHub. In machine learning, such automatic labeling is often called {em distant supervision/}. To the authors knowledge, this is the first distant-supervised cross-platform (paper to repository) matching system. We evaluate the performance of paper2repo on real-world data sets collected from GitHub and Microsoft Academic. Results demonstrate that it outperforms other state of the art recommendation methods.
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