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Register a new userEvryFlare III: Temperature Evolution and Habitability Impacts of Dozens of Superflares Observed Simultaneously by Evryscope and TESS
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Superflares may provide the dominant source of biologically relevant UV radiation to rocky habitable zone M-dwarf planets (M-Earths), altering planetary atmospheres and conditions for surface life. The combined line and continuum flare emission has usually been approximated by a 9000 K blackbody. If superflares are hotter, then the UV emission may be 10X higher than predicted from the optical. However, it is unknown for how long M-dwarf superflares reach temperatures above 9000 K. Only a handful of M-dwarf superflares have been recorded with multi-wavelength high-cadence observations. We double the total number of events in the literature using simultaneous Evryscope and TESS observations to provide the first systematic exploration of the temperature evolution of M-dwarf superflares. We also increase the number of superflaring M-dwarfs with published time-resolved blackbody evolution by ~10X. We measure temperatures at 2 min cadence for 42 superflares from 27 K5-M5 dwarfs. We find superflare peak temperatures (defined as the mean of temperatures corresponding to flare FWHM) increase with flare energy and impulse. We find the amount of time flares emit at temperatures above 14,000 K depends on energy. We discover 43% of the flares emit above 14,000 K, 23% emit above 20,000 K and 5% emit above 30,000 K. The largest and hottest flare briefly reached 42,000 K. Some do not reach 14,000 K. During superflares, we estimate M-Earths orbiting <200 Myr stars typically receive a top-of-atmosphere UV-C flux of ~120 W m^-2 and up to 10^3 W m^-2, 100-1000X the time-averaged XUV flux from Proxima Cen.
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Solar and stellar flares are powerful events which produce intense radiation across the electromagnetic spectrum. Multiwavelength observations are highly important for understanding the nature of flares, because different flare-related processes reveal themselves in different spectral ranges. To study the correlation between thermal and nonthermal processes in stellar flares, we have searched the databases of Kepler (optical observations) and XMM-Newton (soft X-rays) for the flares observed simultaneously with both instruments; nine distinctive flares (with energies exceeding $10^{33}$ erg) on three stars (of K-M spectral classes) have been found. We have analyzed and compared the flare parameters in the optical and X-ray spectral ranges; we have also compared the obtained results with similar observations of solar flares. Most of the studied stellar flares released more energy in the optical range than in X-rays. In one flare, X-ray emission strongly dominated, which could be caused either by soft spectrum of energetic electrons or by a near-limb position of this flare. The X-ray flares were typically delayed with respect to and shorter than their optical counterparts, which is partially consistent with the Neupert effect. Using the scaling laws based on the magnetic reconnection theory, we have estimated the characteristic magnetic field strengths in the stellar active regions and the sizes of these active regions as about $25-70$ G and $250,000-500,000$ km, respectively. The observed stellar superflares appear to be scaled-
Stellar RV jitter due to surface activity may bias the RV semi-amplitude and mass of rocky planets. The amplitude of the jitter may be estimated from the uncertainty in the rotation period, allowing the mass to be more accurately obtained. We find candidate rotation periods for 17 out of 35 TESS Objects of Interest (TOI) hosting <3 R_Earth planets as part of the Magellan-TESS Survey, which is the first-ever statistically robust study of exoplanet masses and radii across the photo-evaporation gap. Seven periods are 3+ sigma detections, two are 1.5+ sigma, and 8 show plausible variability but the periods remain unconfirmed. The other 18 TOIs are non-detections. Candidate rotators include the host stars of the confirmed planets L 168-9 b, the HD 21749 system, LTT 1445 A b, TOI 1062 b, and the L 98-59 system. 13 candidates have no counterpart in the 1000 TOI rotation catalog of Canto Martins et al. (2020). We find periods for G3-M3 dwarfs using combined light curves from TESS and the Evryscope all-sky array of small telescopes, sometimes with longer periods than would be possible with TESS alone. Secure periods range from 1.4 to 26 d with Evryscope-measured photometric amplitudes as small as 2.1 mmag in g. We also apply Monte Carlo sampling and a Gaussian Process stellar activity model from the code exoplanet to the TESS light curves of 6 TOIs to confirm the Evryscope periods.
We investigate the flare-frequency distributions of 5 M-dwarfs that experienced superflares with energies in excess of $10^{33}$ erg detected by ASAS-SN. We use K2 and TESS short-cadence observations along with archival ASAS-SN data to categorise the flaring behaviour of these stars across a range of flare energies. We were able to extract a rotation period for 4 of the stars. They were all fast rotators ($P_{mathrm{rot}} leq 6 textrm{d}$), implying relative youth. We find that the flare-frequency distributions for each of the stars are well fit by a power-law, with slopes between $alpha = 1.22$ and $alpha= 1.82$. These slopes are significantly flatter than those of fast-rotating M-dwarfs not selected for their superflaring activity, corresponding to an increased number of high energy flares. Despite our specific selection of superflaring stars with shallow flare-rate distributions and more power in higher-energy flares, we find that the implied UV flux is insufficient to deplete the ozone of earth-sized planets in the habitable zone around these stars. Furthermore, we find that the flares detected on the stars in our sample are insufficient to produce the UV flux needed to fuel abiogenetic processes. These results imply that given available models, even M-dwarfs selected for extreme flaring properties may have insufficient UV emission from flares to impact exolife on earth-sized planets in the habitable zones around M-dwarfs.
We search for superflares from 4,068 cool stars in 2+ years of Evryscope photometry, focusing on those with high-cadence data from both Evryscope and TESS. The Evryscope array of small telescopes observed 575 flares from 284 stars, with a median energy of 10^34.0 erg. Since 2016, Evryscope has enabled the detection of rare events from all stars observed by TESS through multi-year, high-cadence continuous observing. We report ~2X the previous largest number of 10^34 erg high-cadence flares from nearby cool stars. We find 8 flares with amplitudes of 3+ g magnitudes, with the largest reaching 5.6 magnitudes and releasing 10^36.2 erg. We observe a 10^34 erg superflare from TOI-455 (LTT 1445), a mid-M with a rocky planet candidate. We measure the superflare rate per flare-star and quantify the average flaring of active stars as a function of spectral type, including superflare rates, FFDs, and typical flare amplitudes in g. We confirm superflare morphology is broadly consistent with magnetic re-connection. We estimate starspot coverage necessary to produce superflares, and hypothesize maximum-allowed superflare energies and waiting-times between flares corresponding to 100% coverage of the stellar hemisphere. We observe decreased flaring at high galactic latitudes. We explore the effects of superflares on ozone loss to planetary atmospheres: we observe 1 superflare with sufficient energy to photo-dissociate all ozone in an Earth-like atmosphere in one event. We find 17 stars that may deplete an Earth-like atmosphere via repeated flaring. Of the 1822 stars around which TESS may discover temperate rocky planets, we observe 14.6% +/- 2% emit large flares.
Phased flaring, or the periodic occurrence of stellar flares, may probe electromagnetic star-planet interaction (SPI), binary interaction, or magnetic conditions in spots. For the first time, we explore flare periodograms for a large sample of flare stars to identify periodicity due to magnetic interactions with orbiting companions, magnetic reservoirs, or rotational phase. Previous large surveys have explored periodicity at the stellar rotation period, but we do not assume periods must correspond with rotation in this work. Two min TESS light curves of 284 cool stars are searched for periods from 1-10 d using two newly-developed periodograms. Because flares are discrete events in noisy and incomplete data, typical periodograms are not well-suited to detect phased flaring. We construct and test a new Bayesian likelihood periodogram and a modified Lomb-Scargle periodogram. We find 6 candidates with a false-alarm probability below 1%. Three targets are >3-sigma detections of flare periodicity; the others are plausible candidates which cannot be individually confirmed. Periods range from 1.35 to 6.7 d and some, but not all, correlate with the stellar rotation period or its 1/2 alias. Periodicity from 2 targets may persist from TESS Cycle 1 into Cycle 3. The periodicity does not appear to persist for the others. Long-term changes in periodicity may result from the spot evolution observed from each candidate, which suggests magnetic conditions play an important role in sustaining periodicity.
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