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Register a new userThe MCC-F1 curve: a performance evaluation technique for binary classification
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Many fields use the ROC curve and the PR curve as standard evaluations of binary classification methods. Analysis of ROC and PR, however, often gives misleading and inflated performance evaluations, especially with an imbalanced ground truth. Here, we demonstrate the problems with ROC and PR analysis through simulations, and propose the MCC-F1 curve to address these drawbacks. The MCC-F1 curve combines two informative single-threshold metrics, MCC and the F1 score. The MCC-F1 curve more clearly differentiates good and bad classifiers, even with imbalanced ground truths. We also introduce the MCC-F1 metric, which provides a single value that integrates many aspects of classifier performance across the whole range of classification thresholds. Finally, we provide an R package that plots MCC-F1 curves and calculates related metrics.
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Modern computing and communication technologies can make data collection procedures very efficient. However, our ability to analyze large data sets and/or to extract information out from them is hard-pressed to keep up with our capacities for data collection. Among these huge data sets, some of them are not collected for any particular research purpose. For a classification problem, this means that the essential label information may not be readily obtainable, in the data set in hands, and an extra labeling procedure is required such that we can have enough label information to be used for constructing a classification model. When the size of a data set is huge, to label each subject in it will cost a lot in both capital and time. Thus, it is an important issue to decide which subjects should be labeled first in order to efficiently reduce the training cost/time. Active learning method is a promising outlet for this situation, because with the active learning ideas, we can select the unlabeled subjects sequentially without knowing their label information. In addition, there will be no confirmed information about the essential variables for constructing an efficient classification rule. Thus, how to merge a variable selection scheme with an active learning procedure is of interest. In this paper, we propose a procedure for building binary classification models when the complete label information is not available in the beginning of the training stage. We study an model-based active learning procedure with sequential variable selection schemes, and discuss the results of the proposed procedure from both theoretical and numerical aspects.
In real-world classification problems, pairwise supervision (i.e., a pair of patterns with a binary label indicating whether they belong to the same class or not) can often be obtained at a lower cost than ordinary class labels. Similarity learning is a general framework to utilize such pairwise supervision to elicit useful representations by inferring the relationship between two data points, which encompasses various important preprocessing tasks such as metric learning, kernel learning, graph embedding, and contrastive representation learning. Although elicited representations are expected to perform well in downstream tasks such as classification, little theoretical insight has been given in the literature so far. In this paper, we reveal that a specific formulation of similarity learning is strongly related to the objective of binary classification, which spurs us to learn a binary classifier without ordinary class labels---by fitting the product of real-valued prediction functions of pairwise patterns to their similarity. Our formulation of similarity learning does not only generalize many existing ones, but also admits an excess risk bound showing an explicit connection to classification. Finally, we empirically demonstrate the practical usefulness of the proposed method on benchmark datasets.
Asymmetric binary classification problems, in which the type I and II errors have unequal severity, are ubiquitous in real-world applications. To handle such asymmetry, researchers have developed the cost-sensitive and Neyman-Pearson paradigms for training classifiers to control the more severe type of classification error, say the type I error. The cost-sensitive paradigm is widely used and has straightforward implementations that do not require sample splitting; however, it demands an explicit specification of the costs of the type I and II errors, and an open question is what specification can guarantee a high-probability control on the population type I error. In contrast, the Neyman-Pearson paradigm can train classifiers to achieve a high-probability control of the population type I error, but it relies on sample splitting that reduces the effective training sample size. Since the two paradigms have complementary strengths, it is reasonable to combine their strengths for classifier construction. In this work, we for the first time study the methodological connections between the two paradigms, and we develop the TUBE-CS algorithm to bridge the two paradigms from the perspective of controlling the population type I error.
Supervised classification techniques use training samples to find classification rules with small expected 0-1 loss. Conventional methods achieve efficient learning and out-of-sample generalization by minimizing surrogate losses over specific families of rules. This paper presents minimax risk classifiers (MRCs) that do not rely on a choice of surrogate loss and family of rules. MRCs achieve efficient learning and out-of-sample generalization by minimizing worst-case expected 0-1 loss w.r.t. uncertainty sets that are defined by linear constraints and include the true underlying distribution. In addition, MRCs learning stage provides performance guarantees as lower and upper tight bounds for expected 0-1 loss. We also present MRCs finite-sample generalization bounds in terms of training size and smallest minimax risk, and show their competitive classification performance w.r.t. state-of-the-art techniques using benchmark datasets.
Herein we define a measure of similarity between classification distributions that is both principled from the perspective of statistical pattern recognition and useful from the perspective of machine learning practitioners. In particular, we propose a novel similarity on classification distributions, dubbed task similarity, that quantifies how an optimally-transformed optimal representation for a source distribution performs when applied to inference related to a target distribution. The definition of task similarity allows for natural definitions of adversarial and orthogonal distributions. We highlight limiting properties of representations induced by (universally) consistent decision rules and demonstrate in simulation that an empirical estimate of task similarity is a function of the decision rule deployed for inference. We demonstrate that for a given target distribution, both transfer efficiency and semantic similarity of candidate source distributions correlate with empirical task similarity.
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