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Learned Factor Graphs for Inference from Stationary Time Sequences

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 Added by Nir Shlezinger
 Publication date 2020
and research's language is English




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The design of methods for inference from time sequences has traditionally relied on statistical models that describe the relation between a latent desired sequence and the observed one. A broad family of model-based algorithms have been derived to carry out inference at controllable complexity using recursive computations over the factor graph representing the underlying distribution. An alternative model-agnostic approach utilizes machine learning (ML) methods. Here we propose a framework that combines model-based algorithms and data-driven ML tools for stationary time sequences. In the proposed approach, neural networks are developed to separately learn specific components of a factor graph describing the distribution of the time sequence, rather than the complete inference task. By exploiting stationary properties of this distribution, the resulting approach can be applied to sequences of varying temporal duration. Learned factor graph can be realized using compact neural networks that are trainable using small training sets, or alternatively, be used to improve upon existing deep inference systems. We present an inference algorithm based on learned stationary factor graphs, which learns to implement the sum-product scheme from labeled data, and can be applied to sequences of different lengths. Our experimental results demonstrate the ability of the proposed learned factor graphs to learn to carry out accurate inference from small training sets for sleep stage detection using the Sleep-EDF dataset, as well as for symbol detection in digital communications with unknown channels.

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316 - G. Morvai , S. Yakowitz , 2007
The setting is a stationary, ergodic time series. The challenge is to construct a sequence of functions, each based on only finite segments of the past, which together provide a strongly consistent estimator for the conditional probability of the next observation, given the infinite past. Ornstein gave such a construction for the case that the values are from a finite set, and recently Algoet extended the scheme to time series with coordinates in a Polish space. The present study relates a different solution to the challenge. The algorithm is simple and its verification is fairly transparent. Some extensions to regression, pattern recognition, and on-line forecasting are mentioned.
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110 - G. Morvai , B. Weiss 2007
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