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Register a new userTake a NAP: Non-Autoregressive Prediction for Pedestrian Trajectories
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Added by
Hao Xue
Publication date
2020
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a challenging task as there are three properties of human movement behaviors which need to be addressed, namely, the social influence from other pedestrians, the scene constraints, and the multimodal (multiroute) nature of predictions. Although existing methods have explored these key properties, the prediction process of these methods is autoregressive. This means they can only predict future locations sequentially. In this paper, we present NAP, a non-autoregressive method for trajectory prediction. Our method comprises specifically designed feature encoders and a latent variable generator to handle the three properties above. It also has a time-agnostic context generator and a time-specific context generator for non-autoregressive prediction. Through extensive experiments that compare NAP against several recent methods, we show that NAP has state-of-the-art trajectory prediction performance.
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Network pruning can significantly reduce the computation and memory footprint of large neural networks. To achieve a good trade-off between model size and performance, popular pruning techniques usually rely on hand-crafted heuristics and require manually setting the compression ratio for each layer. This process is typically time-consuming and requires expert knowledge to achieve good results. In this paper, we propose NAP, a unified and automatic pruning framework for both fine-grained and structured pruning. It can find out unimportant components of a network and automatically decide appropriate compression ratios for different layers, based on a theoretically sound criterion. Towards this goal, NAP uses an efficient approximation of the Hessian for evaluating the importances of components, based on a Kronecker-factored Approximate Curvature method. Despite its simpleness to use, NAP outperforms previous pruning methods by large margins. For fine-grained pruning, NAP can compress AlexNet and VGG16 by 25x, and ResNet-50 by 6.7x without loss in accuracy on ImageNet. For structured pruning (e.g. channel pruning), it can reduce flops of VGG16 by 5.4x and ResNet-50 by 2.3x with only 1% accuracy drop. More importantly, this method is almost free from hyper-parameter tuning and requires no expert knowledge. You can start NAP and then take a nap!
Human motion prediction, which aims at predicting future human skeletons given the past ones, is a typical sequence-to-sequence problem. Therefore, extensive efforts have been continued on exploring different RNN-based encoder-decoder architectures. However, by generating target poses conditioned on the previously generated ones, these models are prone to bringing issues such as error accumulation problem. In this paper, we argue that such issue is mainly caused by adopting autoregressive manner. Hence, a novel Non-auToregressive Model (NAT) is proposed with a complete non-autoregressive decoding scheme, as well as a context encoder and a positional encoding module. More specifically, the context encoder embeds the given poses from temporal and spatial perspectives. The frame decoder is responsible for predicting each future pose independently. The positional encoding module injects positional signal into the model to indicate temporal order. Moreover, a multitask training paradigm is presented for both low-level human skeleton prediction and high-level human action recognition, resulting in the convincing improvement for the prediction task. Our approach is evaluated on Human3.6M and CMU-Mocap benchmarks and outperforms state-of-the-art autoregressive methods.
Prediction of trajectories such as that of pedestrians is crucial to the performance of autonomous agents. While previous works have leveraged conditional generative models like GANs and VAEs for learning the likely future trajectories, accurately modeling the dependency structure of these multimodal distributions, particularly over long time horizons remains challenging. Normalizing flow based generative models can model complex distributions admitting exact inference. These include variants with split coupling invertible transformations that are easier to parallelize compared to their autoregressive counterparts. To this end, we introduce a novel Haar wavelet based block autoregressive model leveraging split couplings, conditioned on coarse trajectories obtained from Haar wavelet based transformations at different levels of granularity. This yields an exact inference method that models trajectories at different spatio-temporal resolutions in a hierarchical manner. We illustrate the advantages of our approach for generating diverse and accurate trajectories on two real-world datasets - Stanford Drone and Intersection Drone.
In order to be globally deployed, autonomous cars must guarantee the safety of pedestrians. This is the reason why forecasting pedestrians intentions sufficiently in advance is one of the most critical and challenging tasks for autonomous vehicles. This work tries to solve this problem by jointly predicting the intention and visual states of pedestrians. In terms of visual states, whereas previous work focused on x-y coordinates, we will also predict the size and indeed the whole bounding box of the pedestrian. The method is a recurrent neural network in a multi-task learning approach. It has one head that predicts the intention of the pedestrian for each one of its future position and another one predicting the visual states of the pedestrian. Experiments on the JAAD dataset show the superiority of the performance of our method compared to previous works for intention prediction. Also, although its simple architecture (more than 2 times faster), the performance of the bounding box prediction is comparable to the ones yielded by much more complex architectures. Our code is available online.
Self-driving vehicles plan around both static and dynamic objects, applying predictive models of behavior to estimate future locations of the objects in the environment. However, future behavior is inherently uncertain, and models of motion that produce deterministic outputs are limited to short timescales. Particularly difficult is the prediction of human behavior. In this work, we propose the discrete residual flow network (DRF-Net), a convolutional neural network for human motion prediction that captures the uncertainty inherent in long-range motion forecasting. In particular, our learned network effectively captures multimodal posteriors over future human motion by predicting and updating a discretized distribution over spatial locations. We compare our model against several strong competitors and show that our model outperforms all baselines.
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