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Register a new userInteraction-aware Kalman Neural Networks for Trajectory Prediction
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Added by
Ce Ju
Publication date
2019
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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Forecasting the motion of surrounding obstacles (vehicles, bicycles, pedestrians and etc.) benefits the on-road motion planning for intelligent and autonomous vehicles. Complex scenes always yield great challenges in modeling the patterns of surrounding traffic. For example, one main challenge comes from the intractable interaction effects in a complex traffic system. In this paper, we propose a multi-layer architecture Interaction-aware Kalman Neural Networks (IaKNN) which involves an interaction layer for resolving high-dimensional traffic environmental observations as interaction-aware accelerations, a motion layer for transforming the accelerations to interaction aware trajectories, and a filter layer for estimating future trajectories with a Kalman filter network. Attributed to the multiple traffic data sources, our end-to-end trainable approach technically fuses dynamic and interaction-aware trajectories boosting the prediction performance. Experiments on the NGSIM dataset demonstrate that IaKNN outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in terms of effectiveness for traffic trajectory prediction.
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Trajectory prediction is a critical technique in the navigation of robots and autonomous vehicles. However, the complex traffic and dynamic uncertainties yield challenges in the effectiveness and robustness in modeling. We purpose a data-driven approach socially aware Kalman neural networks (SAKNN) where the interaction layer and the Kalman layer are embedded in the architecture, resulting in a class of architectures with huge potential to directly learn from high variance sensor input and robustly generate low variance outcomes. The evaluation of our approach on NGSIM dataset demonstrates that SAKNN performs state-of-the-art on prediction effectiveness in a relatively long-term horizon and significantly improves the signal-to-noise ratio of the predicted signal.
Forecasting the future behavior of all traffic agents in the vicinity is a key task to achieve safe and reliable autonomous driving systems. It is a challenging problem as agents adjust their behavior depending on their intentions, the others actions, and the road layout. In this paper, we propose Decoder Fusion RNN (DF-RNN), a recurrent, attention-based approach for motion forecasting. Our network is composed of a recurrent behavior encoder, an inter-agent multi-headed attention module, and a context-aware decoder. We design a map encoder that embeds polyline segments, combines them to create a graph structure, and merges their relevant parts with the agents embeddings. We fuse the encoded map information with further inter-agent interactions only inside the decoder and propose to use explicit training as a method to effectively utilize the information available. We demonstrate the efficacy of our method by testing it on the Argoverse motion forecasting dataset and show its state-of-the-art performance on the public benchmark.
Predicting agents future trajectories plays a crucial role in modern AI systems, yet it is challenging due to intricate interactions exhibited in multi-agent systems, especially when it comes to collision avoidance. To address this challenge, we propose to learn congestion patterns as contextual cues explicitly and devise a novel Sense--Learn--Reason--Predict framework by exploiting advantages of three different doctrines of thought, which yields the following desirable benefits: (i) Representing congestion as contextual cues via latent factors subsumes the concept of social force commonly used in physics-based approaches and implicitly encodes the distance as a cost, similar to the way a planning-based method models the environment. (ii) By decomposing the learning phases into two stages, a student can learn contextual cues from a teacher while generating collision-free trajectories. To make the framework computationally tractable, we formulate it as an optimization problem and derive an upper bound by leveraging the variational parametrization. In experiments, we demonstrate that the proposed model is able to generate collision-free trajectory predictions in a synthetic dataset designed for collision avoidance evaluation and remains competitive on the commonly used NGSIM US-101 highway dataset.
In this work, we aim to predict the future motion of vehicles in a traffic scene by explicitly modeling their pairwise interactions. Specifically, we propose a graph neural network that jointly predicts the discrete interaction modes and 5-second future trajectories for all agents in the scene. Our model infers an interaction graph whose nodes are agents and whose edges capture the long-term interaction intents among the agents. In order to train the model to recognize known modes of interaction, we introduce an auto-labeling function to generate ground truth interaction labels. Using a large-scale real-world driving dataset, we demonstrate that jointly predicting the trajectories along with the explicit interaction types leads to significantly lower trajectory error than baseline methods. Finally, we show through simulation studies that the learned interaction modes are semantically meaningful.
For mobile robots navigating on sidewalks, it is essential to be able to safely cross street intersections. Most existing approaches rely on the recognition of the traffic light signal to make an informed crossing decision. Although these approaches have been crucial enablers for urban navigation, the capabilities of robots employing such approaches are still limited to navigating only on streets containing signalized intersections. In this paper, we address this challenge and propose a multimodal convolutional neural network framework to predict the safety of a street intersection for crossing. Our architecture consists of two subnetworks; an interaction-aware trajectory estimation stream IA-TCNN, that predicts the future states of all observed traffic participants in the scene, and a traffic light recognition stream AtteNet. Our IA-TCNN utilizes dilated causal convolutions to model the behavior of the observable dynamic agents in the scene without explicitly assigning priorities to the interactions among them. While AtteNet utilizes Squeeze-Excitation blocks to learn a content-aware mechanism for selecting the relevant features from the data, thereby improving the noise robustness. Learned representations from the traffic light recognition stream are fused with the estimated trajectories from the motion prediction stream to learn the crossing decision. Furthermore, we extend our previously introduced Freiburg Street Crossing dataset with sequences captured at different types of intersections, demonstrating complex interactions among the traffic participants. Extensive experimental evaluations on public benchmark datasets and our proposed dataset demonstrate that our network achieves state-of-the-art performance for each of the subtasks, as well as for the crossing safety prediction.
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