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This paper introduces the texttt{FDR-linking} theorem, a novel technique for understanding textit{non-asymptotic} FDR control of the Benjamini--Hochberg (BH) procedure under arbitrary dependence of the $p$-values. This theorem offers a principled and flexible approach to linking all $p$-values and the null $p$-values from the FDR control perspective, suggesting a profound implication that, to a large extent, the FDR of the BH procedure relies mostly on the null $p$-values. To illustrate the use of this theorem, we propose a new type of dependence only concerning the null $p$-values, which, while strictly textit{relaxing} the state-of-the-art PRDS dependence (Benjamini and Yekutieli, 2001), ensures the FDR of the BH procedure below a level that is independent of the number of hypotheses. This level is, furthermore, shown to be optimal under this new dependence structure. Next, we present a concept referred to as textit{FDR consistency} that is weaker but more amenable than FDR control, and the texttt{FDR-linking} theorem shows that FDR consistency is completely determined by the joint distribution of the null $p$-values, thereby reducing the analysis of this new concept to the global null case. Finally, this theorem is used to obtain a sharp FDR bound under arbitrary dependence, which improves the $log$-correction FDR bound (Benjamini and Yekutieli, 2001) in certain regimes.
In this paper, we study the asymptotic posterior distribution of linear functionals of the density. In particular, we give general conditions to obtain a semiparametric version of the Bernstein-Von Mises theorem. We then apply this general result to nonparametric priors based on infinite dimensional exponential families. As a byproduct, we also derive adaptive nonparametric rates of concentration of the posterior distributions under these families of priors on the class of Sobolev and Besov spaces.
We prove a Bernstein-von Mises theorem for a general class of high dimensional nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems in the vanishing noise limit. We propose a sufficient condition on the growth rate of the number of unknown parameters under which the posterior distribution is asymptotically normal. This growth condition is expressed explicitly in terms of the model dimension, the degree of ill-posedness of the inverse problem and the noise parameter. The theoretical results are applied to a Bayesian estimation of the medium parameter in an elliptic problem.
The prominent Bernstein -- von Mises (BvM) result claims that the posterior distribution after centering by the efficient estimator and standardizing by the square root of the total Fisher information is nearly standard normal. In particular, the prior completely washes out from the asymptotic posterior distribution. This fact is fundamental and justifies the Bayes approach from the frequentist viewpoint. In the nonparametric setup the situation changes dramatically and the impact of prior becomes essential even for the contraction of the posterior; see [vdV2008], [Bo2011], [CaNi2013,CaNi2014] for different models like Gaussian regression or i.i.d. model in different weak topologies. This paper offers another non-asymptotic approach to studying the behavior of the posterior for a special but rather popular and useful class of statistical models and for Gaussian priors. First we derive tight finite sample bounds on posterior contraction in terms of the so called effective dimension of the parameter space. Our main results describe the accuracy of Gaussian approximation of the posterior. In particular, we show that restricting to the class of all centrally symmetric credible sets around pMLE allows to get Gaussian approximation up to order (n^{-1}). We also show that the posterior distribution mimics well the distribution of the penalized maximum likelihood estimator (pMLE) and reduce the question of reliability of credible sets to consistency of the pMLE-based confidence sets. The obtained results are specified for nonparametric log-density estimation and generalized regression.
High-dimensional sparse generalized linear models (GLMs) have emerged in the setting that the number of samples and the dimension of variables are large, and even the dimension of variables grows faster than the number of samples. False discovery rate (FDR) control aims to identify some small number of statistically significantly nonzero results after getting the sparse penalized estimation of GLMs. Using the CLIME method for precision matrix estimations, we construct the debiased-Lasso estimator and prove the asymptotical normality by minimax-rate oracle inequalities for sparse GLMs. In practice, it is often needed to accurately judge each regression coefficients positivity and negativity, which determines whether the predictor variable is positively or negatively related to the response variable conditionally on the rest variables. Using the debiased estimator, we establish multiple testing procedures. Under mild conditions, we show that the proposed debiased statistics can asymptotically control the directional (sign) FDR and directional false discovery variables at a pre-specified significance level. Moreover, it can be shown that our multiple testing procedure can approximately achieve a statistical power of 1. We also extend our methods to the two-sample problems and propose the two-sample test statistics. Under suitable conditions, we can asymptotically achieve directional FDR control and directional FDV control at the specified significance level for two-sample problems. Some numerical simulations have successfully verified the FDR control effects of our proposed testing procedures, which sometimes outperforms the classical knockoff method.
Wasserstein barycenters and variance-like criteria based on the Wasserstein distance are used in many problems to analyze the homogeneity of collections of distributions and structural relationships between the observations. We propose the estimation of the quantiles of the empirical process of Wassersteins variation using a bootstrap procedure. We then use these results for statistical inference on a distribution registration model for general deformation functions. The tests are based on the variance of the distributions with respect to their Wassersteins barycenters for which we prove central limit theorems, including bootstr