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Register a new userTheoretical and Experimental Analysis on the Generalizability of Distribution Regression Network
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There is emerging interest in performing regression between distributions. In contrast to prediction on single instances, these machine learning methods can be useful for population-based studies or on problems that are inherently statistical in nature. The recently proposed distribution regression network (DRN) has shown superior performance for the distribution-to-distribution regression task compared to conventional neural networks. However, in Kou et al. (2018) and some other works on distribution regression, there is a lack of comprehensive comparative study on both theoretical basis and generalization abilities of the methods. We derive some mathematical properties of DRN and qualitatively compare it to conventional neural networks. We also perform comprehensive experiments to study the generalizability of distribution regression models, by studying their robustness to limited training data, data sampling noise and task difficulty. DRN consistently outperforms conventional neural networks, requiring fewer training data and maintaining robust performance with noise. Furthermore, the theoretical properties of DRN can be used to provide some explanation on the ability of DRN to achieve better generalization performance than conventional neural networks.
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Despite the superior performance of deep learning in many applications, challenges remain in the area of regression on function spaces. In particular, neural networks are unable to encode function inputs compactly as each node encodes just a real value. We propose a novel idea to address this shortcoming: to encode an entire function in a single network node. To that end, we design a compact network representation that encodes and propagates functions in single nodes for the distribution regression task. Our proposed Distribution Regression Network (DRN) achieves higher prediction accuracies while being much more compact and uses fewer parameters than traditional neural networks.
This work theoretically investigates the performance of a composite neural network. A composite neural network is a rooted directed acyclic graph combining a set of pre-trained and non-instantiated neural network models, where a pre-trained neural network model is well-crafted for a specific task and targeted to approximate a specific function with instantiated weights. The advantages of adopting such a pre-trained model in a composite neural network are two folds. One is to benefit from others intelligence and diligence, and the other is saving the efforts in data preparation and resources and time in training. However, the overall performance of composite neural network is still not clear. In this work, we prove that a composite neural network, with high probability, performs better than any of its pre-trained components under certain assumptions. In addition, if an extra pre-trained component is added to a composite network, with high probability the overall performance will be improved. In the empirical evaluations, distinctively different applications support the above findings.
Self-training algorithms, which train a model to fit pseudolabels predicted by another previously-learned model, have been very successful for learning with unlabeled data using neural networks. However, the current theoretical understanding of self-training only applies to linear models. This work provides a unified theoretical analysis of self-training with deep networks for semi-supervised learning, unsupervised domain adaptation, and unsupervised learning. At the core of our analysis is a simple but realistic expansion assumption, which states that a low probability subset of the data must expand to a neighborhood with large probability relative to the subset. We also assume that neighborhoods of examples in different classes have minimal overlap. We prove that under these assumptions, the minimizers of population objectives based on self-training and input-consistency regularization will achieve high accuracy with respect to ground-truth labels. By using off-the-shelf generalization bounds, we immediately convert this result to sample complexity guarantees for neural nets that are polynomial in the margin and Lipschitzness. Our results help explain the empirical successes of recently proposed self-training algorithms which use input consistency regularization.
To increase the trustworthiness of deep neural network (DNN) classifiers, an accurate prediction confidence that represents the true likelihood of correctness is crucial. Towards this end, many post-hoc calibration methods have been proposed to leverage a lightweight model to map the target DNNs output layer into a calibrated confidence. Nonetheless, on an out-of-distribution (OOD) dataset in practice, the target DNN can often mis-classify samples with a high confidence, creating significant challenges for the existing calibration methods to produce an accurate confidence. In this paper, we propose a new post-hoc confidence calibration method, called CCAC (Confidence Calibration with an Auxiliary Class), for DNN classifiers on OOD datasets. The key novelty of CCAC is an auxiliary class in the calibration model which separates mis-classified samples from correctly classified ones, thus effectively mitigating the target DNNs being confidently wrong. We also propose a simplified version of CCAC to reduce free parameters and facilitate transfer to a new unseen dataset. Our experiments on different DNN models, datasets and applications show that CCAC can consistently outperform the prior post-hoc calibration methods.
For machine learning systems to be reliable, we must understand their performance in unseen, out-of-distribution environments. In this paper, we empirically show that out-of-distribution performance is strongly correlated with in-distribution performance for a wide range of models and distribution shifts. Specifically, we demonstrate strong correlations between in-distribution and out-of-distribution performance on variants of CIFAR-10 & ImageNet, a synthetic pose estimation task derived from YCB objects, satellite imagery classification in FMoW-WILDS, and wildlife classification in iWildCam-WILDS. The strong correlations hold across model architectures, hyperparameters, training set size, and training duration, and are more precise than what is expected from existing domain adaptation theory. To complete the picture, we also investigate cases where the correlation is weaker, for instance some synthetic distribution shifts from CIFAR-10-C and the tissue classification dataset Camelyon17-WILDS. Finally, we provide a candidate theory based on a Gaussian data model that shows how changes in the data covariance arising from distribution shift can affect the observed correlations.
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