No Arabic abstract
We present a method to flexibly and self-consistently determine individual galaxies star formation rates (SFRs) from their host haloes potential well depths, assembly histories, and redshifts. The method is constrained by galaxies observed stellar mass functions, SFRs (specific and cosmic), quenched fractions, UV luminosity functions, UV-SM relations, IRX-UV relations, auto- and cross-correlation functions (including quenched and star-forming subsamples), and quenching dependence on environment; each observable is reproduced over the full redshift range available, up to 0<z<10. Key findings include: galaxy assembly correlates strongly with halo assembly; quenching at z>1 correlates strongly with halo mass; quenched fractions at fixed halo mass decrease with increasing redshift; massive quenched galaxies reside in higher-mass haloes than star-forming galaxies at fixed galaxy mass; star-forming and quenched galaxies star formation histories at fixed mass differ most at z<0.5; satellites have large scatter in quenching timescales after infall, and have modestly higher quenched fractions than central galaxies; Planck cosmologies result in up to 0.3 dex lower stellar mass-halo mass ratios at early times; and, nonetheless, stellar mass-halo mass ratios rise at z>5. Also presented are revised stellar mass-halo mass relations for all, quenched, star-forming, central, and satellite galaxies; the dependence of star formation histories on halo mass, stellar mass, and galaxy SSFR; quenched fractions and quenching timescale distributions for satellites; and predictions for higher-redshift galaxy correlation functions and weak lensing surface densities. The public data release (DR1) includes the massively parallel (>10^5 cores) implementation (the UniverseMachine), the newly compiled and remeasured observational data, derived galaxy formation constraints, and mock catalogues including lightcones.
We present Trinity, a flexible empirical model that self-consistently infers the statistical connection between dark matter haloes, galaxies, and supermassive black holes (SMBHs). Trinity is constrained by galaxy observables from $0 < z < 10$ (galaxies stellar mass functions, specific and cosmic SFRs, quenched fractions, and UV luminosity functions) and SMBH observables from $0 < z < 6.5$ (quasar luminosity functions, quasar probability distribution functions, active black hole mass functions, local SMBH mass-bulge mass relations, and the observed SMBH mass distributions of high redshift bright quasars). The model includes full treatment of observational systematics (e.g., AGN obscuration and errors in stellar masses). From these data, Trinity infers the average SMBH mass, SMBH accretion rate, merger rate, and Eddington ratio distribution as functions of halo mass, galaxy stellar mass, and redshift. Key findings include: 1) the normalization of the SMBH mass-bulge mass relation increases only mildly from $z=0$ to $z=3$, but decreases more strongly from $z=3$ to $z=10$; 2) The AGN radiative$+$kinetic efficiency is $sim$0.04-0.07, and does not show significant redshift dependence given the existing data constraints; 3) AGNs show downsizing, i.e., the Eddington ratios of more massive SMBHs start to decrease earlier than those of lower-mass objects; 4) The average ratio between average SMBH accretion rate and SFR is $sim10^{-3}$ for low-mass galaxies, which are primarily star-forming. This ratio increases to $sim10^{-1}$ for the most massive haloes below $zsim1$, where star formation is quenched but SMBHs continue to accrete.
The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) is expected to observe galaxies at $z>10$ that are presently inaccessible. Here, we use a self-consistent empirical model, the UniverseMachine, to generate mock galaxy catalogues and lightcones over the redshift range $z=0-15$. These data include realistic galaxy properties (stellar masses, star formation rates, and UV luminosities), galaxy-halo relationships, and galaxy-galaxy clustering. Mock observables are also provided for different model parameters spanning observational uncertainties at $z<10$. We predict that Cycle 1 JWST surveys will very likely detect galaxies with $M_*>10^7 M_odot$ and/or $M_{1500}<-17$ out to at least $zsim 13.5$. Number density uncertainties at $z>12$ expand dramatically, so efforts to detect $z>12$ galaxies will provide the most valuable constraints on galaxy formation models. The faint-end slopes of the stellar mass/luminosity functions at a given mass/luminosity threshold steepen as redshift increases. This is because observable galaxies are hosted by haloes in the exponentially falling regime of the halo mass function at high redshifts. Hence, these faint-end slopes are robustly predicted to become shallower below current observable limits ($M_ast < 10^7M_odot$ or $M_mathrm{1500}>-17$). For reionization models, extrapolating luminosity functions with a constant faint-end slope from $M_{1500}=-17$ down to $M_{1500}=-12$ gives the most reasonable upper limit for the total UV luminosity and cosmic star formation rate up to $zsim 12$. We compare to three other empirical models and one semi-analytic model, showing that the range of predicted observables from our approach encompasses predictions from other techniques. Public catalogues and lightcones for common fields are available online.
We show that the ratio between the stellar mass of central galaxy and the mass of its host halo, $f_c equiv M_{*,c}/M_{rm h}$, can be used as an observable proxy of halo assembly time, in that galaxy groups with higher $f_c$ assembled their masses earlier. Using SDSS groups of Yang et al., we study how $f_c$ correlates with galaxy properties such as color, star formation rate, metallicity, bulge to disk ratio, and size. Central galaxies of a given stellar mass in groups with $f_c>0.02$ tend to be redder in color, more quenched in star formation, smaller in size, and more bulge dominated, as $f_c$ increases. The trends in color and star formation appear to reverse at $f_c<0.02$, reflecting a down-sizing effect that galaxies in massive halos formed their stars earlier although the host halos themselves assembled later (lower $f_c$). No such reversal is seen in the size of elliptical galaxies, suggesting that their assembly follows halo growth more closely than their star formation. Satellite galaxies of a given stellar mass in groups of a given halo mass tend to be redder in color, more quenched in star formation and smaller in size as $f_c$ increases. For a given stellar mass, satellites also tend to be smaller than centrals. The trends are stronger for lower mass groups. For groups more massive than $sim 10^{13}{rm M}_odot$, a weak reversed trend is seen in color and star formation. The observed trends in star formation are qualitatively reproduced by an empirical model based on halo age abundance matching, but not by a semi-analytical model tested here.
The dark matter velocity distribution in the Solar neighbourhood is an important astrophysical input which enters in the predicted event rate of dark matter direct detection experiments. It has been recently suggested that the local dark matter velocity distribution can be inferred from that of old or metal-poor stars in the Milky Way. We investigate this potential relation using six high resolution magneto-hydrodynamical simulations of Milky Way-like galaxies of the Auriga project. We do not find any correlation between the velocity distributions of dark matter and old stars in the Solar neighbourhood. Likewise, there are no strong correlations between the local velocity distributions of dark matter and metal-poor stars selected by applying reasonable cuts on metallicity. In some simulated galaxies, extremely metal-poor stars have a velocity distribution that is statistically consistent with that of the dark matter, but the sample of such stars is so small that we cannot draw any strong conclusions.
We investigate how a property of a galaxy correlates most tightly with a property of its host dark matter halo, using state-of-the-art hydrodynamical simulations of galaxy formation EAGLE, Illustris, and IllustrisTNG. Unlike most of the previous work, our analyses focus on all types of galaxies, including both central and satellite galaxies. We find that the stellar mass of a galaxy at the epoch of the peak circular velocity with an evolution correction gives the tightest such correlation to the peak circular velocity $V_{rm peak}$ of the galaxys underling dark matter halo. The evolution of galaxy stellar mass reduces rather than increases scatter in such a relation. We also find that one major source of scatter comes from star stripping due to the strong interactions between galaxies. Even though, we show that the size of scatter predicted by hydrodynamical simulations has a negligible impact on the clustering of dense $V_{rm peak}$-selected subhalo from simulations, which suggests that even the simplest subhalo abundance matching (SHAM), without scatter and any additional free parameter, can provide a robust prediction of galaxy clustering that can agree impressively well with the observations from the SDSS main galaxy survey.