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Exact Simulation of the Extrema of Stable Processes

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 Publication date 2018
and research's language is English




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We exhibit an exact simulation algorithm for the supremum of a stable process over a finite time interval using dominated coupling from the past (DCFTP). We establish a novel perpetuity equation for the supremum (via the representation of the concave majorants of Levy processes) and apply it to construct a Markov chain in the DCFTP algorithm. We prove that the number of steps taken backwards in time before the coalescence is detected is finite. We analyse numerically the performance of the algorithm (the code, written in Julia 1.0, is available on GitHub).



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The simulation of exit times for diffusion processes is a challenging task since it concerns many applications in different fields like mathematical finance, neuroscience, reliability... The usual procedure is to use discretiza-tion schemes which unfortunately introduce some error in the target distribution. Our aim is to present a new algorithm which simulates exactly the exit time for one-dimensional diffusions. This acceptance-rejection algorithm requires to simulate exactly the exit time of the Brownian motion on one side and the Brownian position at a given time, constrained not to have exit before, on the other side. Crucial tools in this study are the Girsanov transformation, the convergent series method for the simulation of random variables and the classical rejection sampling. The efficiency of the method is described through theoretical results and numerical examples.
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Since diffusion processes arise in so many different fields, efficient tech-nics for the simulation of sample paths, like discretization schemes, represent crucial tools in applied probability. Such methods permit to obtain approximations of the first-passage times as a by-product. For efficiency reasons, it is particularly challenging to simulate directly this hitting time by avoiding to construct the whole paths. In the Brownian case, the distribution of the first-passage time is explicitly known and can be easily used for simulation purposes. The authors introduce a new rejection sampling algorithm which permits to perform an exact simulation of the first-passage time for general one-dimensional diffusion processes. The efficiency of the method, which is essentially based on Girsanovs transformation , is described through theoretical results and numerical examples.
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