No Arabic abstract
Primary law of the European Union demands that the allocation of the seats of the European Parliament between the Member States must obey the principle of degressive proportionality. The principle embodies the political aim that the more populous states agree to be underrepresented in order to allow the less populous states to be better represented. This paper reviews four allocation methods achieving this goal: the Cambridge Compromise, the Power Compromise, the Modified Cambridge Compromise, and the 0.5-DPL Method. After a year of committee deliberations, Parliament decreed on 7 February 2018 an allocation of seats for the 2019 elections that realizes degressive proportionality, but otherwise lacks methodological grounding. The allocation emerged from haggling and bargaining behind closed doors.
We analyze properties of apportionment functions in context of the problem of allocating seats in the European Parliament. Necessary and sufficient conditions for apportionment functions are investigated. Some exemplary families of apportionment functions are specified and the corresponding partitions of the seats in the European Parliament among the Member States of the European Union are presented. Although the choice of the allocation functions is theoretically unlimited, we show that the constraints are so strong that the acceptable functions lead to rather similar solutions.
A fully renewable European power system comes with a variety of problems. Most of them are linked to the intermittent nature of renewable generation from the sources of wind and photovoltaics. A possible solution to balance European generation and consumption are European hydro power with its seasonal and North African Concentrated Solar Power with its daily storage characteristics. In this paper, we investigate the interplay of hydro and CSP imports in a highly renewable European power system. We use a large weather database and historical load data to model the interplay of renewable generation, consumption and imports for Europe. We introduce and compare different hydro usage strategies and show that hydro and CSP imports must serve different purposes to maximise benefits for the total system. CSP imports should be used to cover daily deficits, whereas hydro power can cover seasonal imbalances. If hydro is used in a Hydro First strategy, only around one quarter of North African Solar Power could be exported to Europe, whereas this number increases to around 60%, if a cooperative hydro strategy is used.
At the moment of writing (12 February, 2020), the future evolution of the 2019-nCoV virus is unclear. Predictions of the further course of the epidemic are decisive to deploy targeted disease control measures. We consider a network-based model to describe the 2019-nCoV epidemic in the Hubei province. The network is composed of the cities in Hubei and their interactions (e.g., traffic flow). However, the precise interactions between cities is unknown and must be inferred from observing the epidemic. We propose a network-based method to predict the future prevalence of the 2019-nCoV virus in every city. Our results indicate that network-based modelling is beneficial for an accurate forecast of the epidemic outbreak.
The advent of social media changed the way we consume content favoring a disintermediated access and production. This scenario has been matter of critical discussion about its impact on society. Magnified in the case of Arab Spring or heavily criticized in the Brexit and 2016 U.S. elections. In this work we explore information consumption on Twitter during the last European electoral campaign by analyzing the interaction patterns of official news sources, fake news sources, politicians, people from the showbiz and many others. We extensively explore interactions among different classes of accounts in the months preceding the last European elections, held between 23rd and 26th of May, 2019. We collected almost 400,000 tweets posted by 863 accounts having different roles in the public society. Through a thorough quantitative analysis we investigate the information flow among them, also exploiting geolocalized information. Accounts show the tendency to confine their interaction within the same class and the debate rarely crosses national borders. Moreover, we do not find any evidence of an organized network of accounts aimed at spreading disinformation. Instead, disinformation outlets are largely ignored by the other actors and hence play a peripheral role in online political discussions.
Our goal is to present the basic results on one-dimensional Gibbs and equilibrium states viewed as special invariant measures on symbolic dynamical systems, and then to describe without technicalities a sample of results they allowed to obtain for certain differentiable dynamical systems. We hope that this contribution will illustrate the symbiotic relationship between ergodic theory and statistical mechanics, and also information theory.