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Noise sensitivity of functionals of fractional Brownian motion driven stochastic differential equations: Results and perspectives

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 Added by Alexandre Richard
 Publication date 2017
  fields
and research's language is English




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We present an innovating sensitivity analysis for stochastic differential equations: We study the sensitivity, when the Hurst parameter~$H$ of the driving fractional Brownian motion tends to the pure Brownian value, of probability distributions of smooth functionals of the trajectories of the solutions ${X^H_t}_{tin mathbb{R}_+}$ and of the Laplace transform of the first passage time of $X^H$ at a given threshold. Our technique requires to extend already known Gaussian estimates on the density of $X^H_t$ to estimates with constants which are uniform w.r.t. $t$ in in the whole half-line $R_+-{0}$ and $H$ when $H$ tends to~$tfrac{1}{2}$.



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In this paper we develop sensitivity analyses w.r.t. the long-range/memory noise parameter for solutions to stochastic differential equations and the probability distributions of their first passage times at given thresholds. Here we consider the case of stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motions and the sensitivity, when the Hurst parameter~$H$ of the noise tends to the pure Brownian value, of probability distributions of certain functionals of the trajectories of the solutions ${X^H_t}_{tin mathbb{R}_+}$. We first get accurate sensitivity estimates w.r.t. $H$ around the critical Brownian parameter $H=tfrac{1}{2}$ of time marginal probability distributions of $X^H$. We second develop a sensitivity analysis for the Laplace transform of first passage time of $X^H$ at a given threshold. Our technique requires accurate Gaussian estimates on the density of $X^H_t$. The Gaussian estimate we obtain in Section~5 may be of interest by itself.
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