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Register a new userStochastic parameterization of subgrid-scale processes: A review of recent physically-based approaches
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We review some recent methods of subgrid-scale parameterization used in the context of climate modeling. These methods are developed to take into account (subgrid) processes playing an important role in the correct representation of the atmospheric and climate variability. We illustrate these methods on a simple stochastic triad system relevant for the atmospheric and climate dynamics, and we show in particular that the stability properties of the underlying dynamics of the subgrid processes has a considerable impact on their performances.
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A stochastic subgrid-scale parameterization based on the Ruelles response theory and proposed in Wouters and Lucarini [2012] is tested in the context of a low-order coupled ocean-atmosphere model for which a part of the atmospheric modes are considered as unresolved. A natural separation of the phase-space into an invariant set and its complement allows for an analytical derivation of the different terms involved in the parameterization, namely the average, the fluctuation and the long memory terms. In this case, the fluctuation term is an additive stochastic noise. Its application to the low-order system reveals that a considerable correction of the low-frequency variability along the invariant subset can be obtained, provided that the coupling is sufficiently weak. This new approach of scale separation opens new avenues of subgrid-scale parameterizations in multiscale systems used for climate forecasts.
A promising approach to improve climate-model simulations is to replace traditional subgrid parameterizations based on simplified physical models by machine learning algorithms that are data-driven. However, neural networks (NNs) often lead to instabilities and climate drift when coupled to an atmospheric model. Here we learn an NN parameterization from a high-resolution atmospheric simulation in an idealized domain by coarse graining the model equations and output. The NN parameterization has a structure that ensures physical constraints are respected, and it leads to stable simulations that replicate the climate of the high-resolution simulation with similar accuracy to a successful random-forest parameterization while needing far less memory. We find that the simulations are stable for a variety of NN architectures and horizontal resolutions, and that an NN with substantially reduced numerical precision could decrease computational costs without affecting the quality of simulations.
Quantifying how distinguishable two stochastic processes are lies at the heart of many fields, such as machine learning and quantitative finance. While several measures have been proposed for this task, none have universal applicability and ease of use. In this Letter, we suggest a set of requirements for a well-behaved measure of process distinguishability. Moreover, we propose a family of measures, called divergence rates, that satisfy all of these requirements. Focussing on a particular member of this family -- the co-emission divergence rate -- we show that it can be computed efficiently, behaves qualitatively similar to other commonly-used measures in their regimes of applicability, and remains well-behaved in scenarios where other measures break down.
Global climate models represent small-scale processes such as clouds and convection using quasi-empirical models known as parameterizations, and these parameterizations are a leading cause of uncertainty in climate projections. A promising alternative approach is to use machine learning to build new parameterizations directly from high-resolution model output. However, parameterizations learned from three-dimensional model output have not yet been successfully used for simulations of climate. Here we use a random forest to learn a parameterization of subgrid processes from output of a three-dimensional high-resolution atmospheric model. Integrating this parameterization into the atmospheric model leads to stable simulations at coarse resolution that replicate the climate of the high-resolution simulation. The parameterization obeys physical constraints and captures important statistics such as precipitation extremes. The ability to learn from a fully three-dimensional simulation presents an opportunity for learning parameterizations from the wide range of global high-resolution simulations that are now emerging.
Recently, a variational approach has been introduced for the paradigmatic Kardar--Parisi--Zhang (KPZ) equation. Here we review that approach, together with the functional Taylor expansion that the KPZ nonequilibrium potential (NEP) admits. Such expansion becomes naturally truncated at third order, giving rise to a nonlinear stochastic partial differential equation to be regarded as a gradient-flow counterpart to the KPZ equation. A dynamic renormalization group analysis at one-loop order of this new mesoscopic model yields the KPZ scaling relation alpha+z=2, as a consequence of the exact cancelation of the different contributions to vertex renormalization. This result is quite remarkable, considering the lower degree of symmetry of this equation, which is in particular not Galilean invariant. In addition, this scheme is exploited to inquire about the dynamical behavior of the KPZ equation through a path-integral approach. Each of these aspects offers novel points of view and sheds light on particular aspects of the dynamics of the KPZ equation.
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