No Arabic abstract
In this paper, the impact of escaping in couples on the evacuation dynamics has been investigated via experiments and modeling. Two sets of experiments have been implemented, in which pedestrians are asked to escape either in individual or in couples. The experiments show that escaping in couples can decrease the average evacuation time. Moreover, it is found that the average evacuation time gap is essentially constant, which means that the evacuation speed essentially does not depend on the number of pedestrians that have not yet escaped. To model the evacuation dynamics, an improved social force model has been proposed, in which it is assumed that the driving force of a pedestrian cannot be fulfilled when the composition of physical forces exceeds a threshold because the pedestrian cannot keep his/her body balance under this circumstance. To model the effect of escaping in couples, attraction force has been introduced between the partners. Simulation results are in good agreement with the experimental ones.
We explain why a sampling (division of data into homogenous sub-samples), segmentation (selection of sub-samples belonging to a small sub-area in ID plane - a segmentation zone), and scaling (a linear transformation of random variables representing a standard sub-routine in a general scheme of an unfolding procedure) are necessary parts of any vehicular data investigations. We demonstrate how representative traffic micro-quantities (in an unified representation) are changing with a location of a segmentation zone. It is shown that these changes are non-trivial and correspond fully to some previously-published results. Furthermore, we present a simple mathematical technique for the unification of GIG-distributed random variables.
Understanding the mechanisms responsible for the emergence and evolution of oscillations in traffic flow has been subject to intensive research by the traffic flow theory community. In our previous work, we proposed a new mechanism to explain the generation of traffic oscillations: traffic instability caused by the competition between speed adaptation and the cumulative effect of stochastic factors. In this paper, by conducting a closer examination of car following data obtained in a 25-car platoon experiment, we discovered that the speed difference plays a more important role on car-following dynamics than the spacing, and when its amplitude is small, the growth of oscillations is mainly determined by the stochastic factors that follow the mean reversion process; when its amplitude increases, the growth of the oscillations is determined by the competition between the stochastic factors and the speed difference. An explanation is then provided, based on the above findings, to why the speed variance in the oscillatory traffic grows in a concave way along the platoon. Finally, we proposed a mode-switching stochastic car-following model that incorporates the speed adaptation and spacing indifference behaviors of drivers, which captures the observed characteristics of oscillation and discharge rate. Sensitivity analysis shows that reaction delay only has slight effect but indifference region boundary has significant on oscillation growth rate and discharge rate.
In real-world systems, phase transitions often materialize abruptly, making it difficult to design appropriate controls that help uncover underlying processes. Some agent-based computational models display transformations similar to phase transitions. For such cases, it is possible to elicit detailed underlying processes that can be subsequently tested for applicability in real-world systems. In a genetic algorithm, we investigate how a modest difference in the concentration of correct and incorrect knowledge leads to radically different outcomes obtained through learning efforts by a group of agents. We show that a difference in concentration of correct and incorrect knowledge triggers virtuous and vicious cycles that impact the emergent outcome. When virtuous cycles are in operation, delaying the onset of equilibrium attains superior outcomes. For the vicious cycles, reaching equilibrium quickly attains superior outcomes. Our approach helps uncover simple mechanisms by which Nature works, jettisoning the yoke of unrealistic assumptions endemic in mathematics-based approaches. Our explanatory model helps direct research to investigate concentrations of inputs that obtains outcomes on the favourable side of phase transitions. For example, by tracking change in concentration of relevant parameters, scientists may look for reasons why cells cease to reproduce fit cells in organs. This can help design rejuvenation of organs. Further, in the world of physics, our model may inform in situations where the dominant Ising model falls short.
The bounded rationality is a crucial component in human behaviors. It plays a key role in the typical collective behavior of evacuation, in which the heterogeneous information leads to the deviation of rational choices. In this study, we propose a deep learning framework to extract the quantitative deviation which emerges in a cellular automaton (CA) model describing the evacuation. The well-trained deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) accurately predict the rational factors from multi-frame images generated by the CA model. In addition, it should be noted that the performance of this machine is robust to the incomplete images corresponding to global information loss. Moreover, this framework provides us with a playground in which the rationality is measured in evacuation and the scheme could also be generalized to other well-designed virtual experiments.
We deduce and discuss the implications of self-similarity for the stability in terms of robustness to failure of multiplexes, depending on interlayer degree correlations. First, we define self-similarity of multiplexes and we illustrate the concept in practice using the configuration model ensemble. Circumscribing robustness to survival of the mutually percolated state, we find a new explanation based on self-similarity both for the observed fragility of interconnected systems of networks and for their robustness to failure when interlayer degree correlations are present. Extending the self-similarity arguments, we show that interlayer degree correlations can change completely the stability properties of self-similar multiplexes, so that they can even recover a zero percolation threshold and a continuous transition in the thermodynamic limit, qualitatively exhibiting thus the ordinary stability attributes of noninteracting networks. We confirm these results with numerical simulations.