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Register a new userDeciphering Solar Magnetic Activity: On Grand Minima in Solar Activity
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The Sun provides the energy necessary to sustain our existence. While the Sun provides for us, it is also capable of taking away. The weather and climatic scales of solar evolution and the Sun-Earth connection are not well understood. There has been tremendous progress in the century since the discovery of solar magnetism - magnetism that ultimately drives the electromagnetic, particulate and eruptive forcing of our planetary system. There is contemporary evidence of a decrease in solar magnetism, perhaps even indicators of a significant downward trend, over recent decades. Are we entering a minimum in solar activity that is deeper and longer than a typical solar minimum, a grand minimum? How could we tell if we are? What is a grand minimum and how does the Sun recover? These are very pertinent questions for modern civilization. In this paper we present a hypothetical demonstration of entry and exit from grand minimum conditions based on a recent analysis of solar features over the past 20 years and their possible connection to the origins of the 11(-ish) year solar activity cycle.
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The Suns variability is controlled by the progression and interaction of the magnetized systems that form the 22-year magnetic activity cycle (the Hale Cycle) as they march from their origin at $sim$55 degrees latitude to the equator, over $sim$19 years. We will discuss the end point of that progression, dubbed terminator events, and our means of diagnosing them. Based on the terminations of Hale Magnetic Cycles, we construct a new solar activity clock which maps all solar magnetic activity onto a single normalized epoch. The Terminators appear at phase $0 * 2pi$ on this clock (by definition), then solar polar field reversals commence at $0.2 * 2pi$, and the geomagnetically quiet intervals centered around solar minimum, start at $0.6 * 2pi$ and end at the terminator, lasting 40% of the normalized cycle length. With this onset of quiescence, dubbed a pre-terminator, the Sun shows a radical reduction in active region complexity and (like the terminator events) is associated with the time when the solar radio flux crosses F10.7=90 sfu -- effectively marking the commencement of solar minimum conditions. In this paper we use the terminator-based clock to illustrate a range of phenomena associated with the pre-terminator event that further emphasize the strong interaction of the global-scale magnetic systems of the Hale Cycle.
The cyclic, enigmatic, and ubiquitous magnetism of the Sun provides the energy we need to survive and has the ability to destroy our technologically dependent civilization. Never before has understanding solar magnetism and forecasting its behavior been so relevant. Indeed, on a broader canvas, understanding solar magnetism is a gateway to understanding the evolution and activity of other stars - the Sun is an astrophysical Rosetta Stone. Despite the centuries of observation, the past century of precise characterization, and significant advances in theoretical and numerical modeling over the past several decades, we have broken the cypher of the Suns global-scale magnetism. Using a host of observables spanning 140 years we will revisit an observational concept, the extended solar cycle, (ESC) that came to the fore in the mid-1980s but almost completely disappeared from the common consciousness of the global solar physics less than a sunspot cycle later - it is unclear why. Using a recently identified solar fiducial time, the end (or termination) of a solar cycle, we employ superposed epoch analysis to identify the ESC as a mapping of the Suns fundamental magnetic activity cycle and also as a recurring spatio-temporal unit of solar evolution. The ESC is a pattern from which the spatio-temporal pattern, and numerical modulation, of sunspots is produced. This effort illustrates that the ESC is the manifestation of the Suns Hale Cycle. We will close by pointing out areas of investigation indicated by the pattern of the Hale Cycle that may permit the conversion from observational correspondence to fundamental physical processes and a leap forward in understanding solar activity.
We present our latest results on the solar-stellar connection by studying 18 solar analogs that we identified among the Kepler seismic sample (Salabert et al., 2016a). We measured their magnetic activity properties using observations collected by the Kepler satellite and the ground-based, high-resolution Hermes spectrograph. The photospheric (Sph) and chromospheric (S) magnetic activity proxies of these seismic solar analogs are compared in relation to solar activity. We show that the activity of the Sun is actually comparable to the activity of the seismic solar analogs. Furthermore, we report on the discovery of temporal variability in the acoustic frequencies of the young (1 Gyr-old) solar analog KIC10644253 with a modulation of about 1.5 years, which agrees with the derived photospheric activity (Salabert et al., 2016b). It could actually be the signature of the short-period modulation, or quasi-biennal oscillation, of its magnetic activity as observed in the Sun and the 1-Gyr-old solar analog HD30495. In addition, the lithium abundance and the chromospheric activity estimated from Hermes confirms that KIC10644253 is a young and more active star than the Sun.
Finding solar-analog stars with fundamental properties as close as possible to the Sun and studying the characteristics of their surface magnetic activity is a very promising way to understand the solar variability and its associated dynamo process. However, the identification of solar-analog stars depends on the accuracy of the estimated stellar parameters. Thanks to the photometric CoROT and Kepler space missions, the addition of asteroseismic data was proven to provide the most accurate fundamental properties that can be derived from stellar modeling today. Here, we present our latest results on the solar-stellar connection by studying 18 solar analogs that we identified among the Kepler seismic sample (Salabert et al., 2016a). We measured their magnetic activity properties using the observations collected by the Kepler satellite and the ground-based, high-resolution HERMES spectrograph. The photospheric (Sph) and chromospheric (S) magnetic activity proxies of these seismic solar analogs are compared in relation to the solar activity. We show that the activity of the Sun is comparable to the activity of the seismic solar analogs, within the maximum-to-minimum temporal variations of the 11-year solar activity cycle. Furthermore, we report on the discovery of temporal variability in the acoustic frequencies of the young (1 Gyr-old) solar analog KIC10644253 with a modulation of about 1.5 years, which agrees with the derived photospheric activity Sph (Salabert et al, 2016b). It could be the signature of the short-period modulation, or quasi-biennal oscillation, of its magnetic activity as observed in the Sun and in the 1-Gyr-old solar analog HD30495. In addition, the lithium abundance and the chromospheric activity estimated from HERMES confirms that KIC10644253 is a young and more active star than the Sun.
Sunspots are a canonical marker of the Suns internal magnetic field which flips polarity every ~22-years. The principal variation of sunspots, an ~11-year variation in number, modulates the amount of magnetic field that pierces the solar surface and drives significant variations in our Stars radiative, particulate and eruptive output over that period. This paper presents observations from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory and Solar Dynamics Observatory indicating that the 11-year sunspot variation is intrinsically tied it to the spatio-temporal overlap of the activity bands belonging to the 22-year magnetic activity cycle. Using a systematic analysis of ubiquitous coronal brightpoints, and the magnetic scale on which they appear to form, we show that the landmarks of sunspot cycle 23 can be explained by considering the evolution and interaction of the overlapping activity bands of the longer scale variability.
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