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The Orbit of Transneptunian Binary Manwe and Thorondor and their Upcoming Mutual Events

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 Added by Will Grundy
 Publication date 2014
  fields Physics
and research's language is English




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A new Hubble Space Telescope observation of the 7:4 resonant transneptunian binary system (385446) Manwe has shown that, of two previously reported solutions for the orbit of its satellite Thorondor, the prograde one is correct. The orbit has a period of 110.18 $pm$ 0.02 days, semimajor axis of 6670 $pm$ 40 km, and an eccentricity of 0.563 $pm$ 0.007. It will be viewable edge-on from the inner solar system during 2015-2017, presenting opportunities to observe mutual occultation and eclipse events. However, the number of observable events will be small, owing to the long orbital period and expected small sizes of the bodies relative to their separation. This paper presents predictions for events observable from Earth-based telescopes and discusses the associated uncertainties and challenges.



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Hubble Space Telescope observations between 2001 and 2010 resolved the binary components of the Cold Classical transneptunian object (79360) Sila-Nunam (provisionally designated 1997 CS29). From these observations we have determined the circular, retrograde mutual orbit of Nunam relative to Sila with a period of 12.50995 pm 0.00036 days and a semimajor axis of 2777 pm 19 km. A multi-year season of mutual events, in which the two near-equal brightness bodies alternate in passing in front of one another as seen from Earth, is in progress right now, and on 2011 Feb. 1 UT, one such event was observed from two different telescopes. The mutual event season offers a rich opportunity to learn much more about this barely-resolvable binary system, potentially including component sizes, colors, shapes, and albedo patterns. The low eccentricity of the orbit and a photometric lightcurve that appears to coincide with the orbital period are consistent with a system that is tidally locked and synchronized, like the Pluto-Charon system. The orbital period and semimajor axis imply a system mass of (10.84 pm 0.22) times 10^18 kg, which can be combined with a size estimate based on Spitzer and Herschel thermal infrared observations to infer an average bulk density of 0.72 +0.37 -0.23 g cm^-3, comparable to the very low bulk densities estimated for small transneptunian binaries of other dynamical classes.
We present new Hubble Space Telescope and ground-based Keck observations and new Keplerian orbit solutions for the mutual orbit of binary Jupiter Trojan asteroid (617) Patroclus and Menoetius, targets of NASAs Lucy mission. We predict event times for the upcoming mutual event season, which is anticipated to run from late 2017 through mid 2019.
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Kuiper Belt Object (385446) Manwe-Thorondor is a multi-object system with mutual events predicted to occur from 2014 to 2019. To detect the events, we observed the system at 4 epochs (UT 2016 Aug 25 and 26, 2017 Jul 22 and 25, 2017 Nov 9, and 2018 Oct 6) in g, r, and VR bands using the 4-m SOAR and the 8.1-m Gemini South telescopes at Cerro Pachon, Chile and Lowell Observatory s 4.3-m Discovery Channel Telescope at Happy Jack, Arizona. These dates overlap the uncertainty range (+/- 0.5 d) for four inferior events (Thorondor eclipsing Manwe). We clearly observe variability for the unresolved system with a double-peaked period 11.88190 +/- 0.00005 h and ~0.5 mag amplitude together with much longer-term variability. Using a multi-component model, we simultaneously fit our observations and earlier photometry measured separately for Manwe and Thorondor with the Hubble Space Telescope. Our fit suggests Manwe is bi-lobed, close to the barbell shape expected for a strengthless body with density ~0.8 g/cm3 in hydrostatic equilibrium. For Manwe, we thereby derive maximum width to length ratio ~0.30, surface area equivalent to a sphere of diameter 190 km, geometric albedo 0.06, mass 1.4x1018 kg, and spin axis oriented ~75 deg from Earth s line of sight. Changes in Thorondor s brightness by ~0.6 mag with ~300-d period may account for the system s long-term variability. Mutual events with unexpectedly shallow depth and short duration may account for residuals to the fit. The system is complex, providing a challenging puzzle for future modeling efforts.
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