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Register a new userHypothesis testing by convex optimization
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Added by
Arkadi Nemirovski
Publication date
2013
fields
Mathematical Statistics
and research's language is
English
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We discuss a general approach to handling multiple hypotheses testing in the case when a particular hypothesis states that the vector of parameters identifying the distribution of observations belongs to a convex compact set associated with the hypothesis. With our approach, this problem reduces to testing the hypotheses pairwise. Our central result is a test for a pair of hypotheses of the outlined type which, under appropriate assumptions, is provably nearly optimal. The test is yielded by a solution to a convex programming problem, so that our construction admits computationally efficient implementation. We further demonstrate that our assumptions are satisfied in several important and interesting applications. Finally, we show how our approach can be applied to a rather general detection problem encompassing several classical statistical settings such as detection of abrupt signal changes, cusp detection and multi-sensor detection.
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Consider a Poisson point process with unknown support boundary curve $g$, which forms a prototype of an irregular statistical model. We address the problem of estimating non-linear functionals of the form $int Phi(g(x)),dx$. Following a nonparametric maximum-likelihood approach, we construct an estimator which is UMVU over Holder balls and achieves the (local) minimax rate of convergence. These results hold under weak assumptions on $Phi$ which are satisfied for $Phi(u)=|u|^p$, $pge 1$. As an application, we consider the problem of estimating the $L^p$-norm and derive the minimax separation rates in the corresponding nonparametric hypothesis testing problem. Structural differences to results for regular nonparametric models are discussed.
Discussion of Latent variable graphical model selection via convex optimization by Venkat Chandrasekaran, Pablo A. Parrilo and Alan S. Willsky [arXiv:1008.1290].
We study the well-known problem of estimating a sparse $n$-dimensional unknown mean vector $theta = (theta_1, ..., theta_n)$ with entries corrupted by Gaussian white noise. In the Bayesian framework, continuous shrinkage priors which can be expressed as scale-mixture normal densities are popular for obtaining sparse estimates of $theta$. In this article, we introduce a new fully Bayesian scale-mixture prior known as the inverse gamma-gamma (IGG) prior. We prove that the posterior distribution contracts around the true $theta$ at (near) minimax rate under very mild conditions. In the process, we prove that the sufficient conditions for minimax posterior contraction given by Van der Pas et al. (2016) are not necessary for optimal posterior contraction. We further show that the IGG posterior density concentrates at a rate faster than those of the horseshoe or the horseshoe+ in the Kullback-Leibler (K-L) sense. To classify true signals ($theta_i eq 0$), we also propose a hypothesis test based on thresholding the posterior mean. Taking the loss function to be the expected number of misclassified tests, we show that our test procedure asymptotically attains the optimal Bayes risk exactly. We illustrate through simulations and data analysis that the IGG has excellent finite sample performance for both estimation and classification.
Consider the problem of simultaneous testing for the means of independent normal observations. In this paper, we study some asymptotic optimality properties of certain multiple testing rules induced by a general class of one-group shrinkage priors in a Bayesian decision theoretic framework, where the overall loss is taken as the number of misclassified hypotheses. We assume a two-groups normal mixture model for the data and consider the asymptotic framework adopted in Bogdan et al. (2011) who introduced the notion of asymptotic Bayes optimality under sparsity in the context of multiple testing. The general class of one-group priors under study is rich enough to include, among others, the families of three parameter beta, generalized double Pareto priors, and in particular the horseshoe, the normal-exponential-gamma and the Strawderman-Berger priors. We establish that within our chosen asymptotic framework, the multiple testing rules under study asymptotically attain the risk of the Bayes Oracle up to a multiplicative factor, with the constant in the risk close to the constant in the Oracle risk. This is similar to a result obtained in Datta and Ghosh (2013) for the multiple testing rule based on the horseshoe estimator introduced in Carvalho et al. (2009, 2010). We further show that under very mild assumption on the underlying sparsity parameter, the induced decision rules based on an empirical Bayes estimate of the corresponding global shrinkage parameter proposed by van der Pas et al. (2014), attain the optimal Bayes risk up to the same multiplicative factor asymptotically. We provide a unifying argument applicable for the general class of priors under study. In the process, we settle a conjecture regarding optimality property of the generalized double Pareto priors made in Datta and Ghosh (2013). Our work also shows that the result in Datta and Ghosh (2013) can be improved further.
Distance correlation is a new measure of dependence between random vectors. Distance covariance and distance correlation are analogous to product-moment covariance and correlation, but unlike the classical definition of correlation, distance correlation is zero only if the random vectors are independent. The empirical distance dependence measures are based on certain Euclidean distances between sample elements rather than sample moments, yet have a compact representation analogous to the classical covariance and correlation. Asymptotic properties and applications in testing independence are discussed. Implementation of the test and Monte Carlo results are also presented.
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