Do you want to publish a course? Click here

On the dynamics of interacting populations in presence of state dependent fluctuations

104   0   0.0 ( 0 )
 Added by Nikolay Vitanov k
 Publication date 2013
  fields Physics Biology
and research's language is English




Ask ChatGPT about the research

We discuss several models of the dynamics of interacting populations. The models are constructed by nonlinear differential equations and have two sets of parameters: growth rates and coefficients of interaction between populations. We assume that the parameters depend on the densities of the populations. In addition the parameters can be influenced by different factors of the environment. This influence is modelled by noise terms in the equations for the growth rates and interaction coefficients. Thus the model differential equations become stochastic. In some particular cases these equations can be reduced to a Foker-Plancnk equation for the probability density function of the densities of the interacting populations.



rate research

Read More

In genetic circuits, when the mRNA lifetime is short compared to the cell cycle, proteins are produced in geometrically-distributed bursts, which greatly affects the cellular switching dynamics between different metastable phenotypic states. Motivated by this scenario, we study a general problem of switching or escape in stochastic populations, where influx of particles occurs in groups or bursts, sampled from an arbitrary distribution. The fact that the step size of the influx reaction is a-priori unknown, and in general, may fluctuate in time with a given correlation time and statistics, introduces an additional non-demographic step-size noise into the system. Employing the probability generating function technique in conjunction with Hamiltonian formulation, we are able to map the problem in the leading order onto solving a stationary Hamilton-Jacobi equation. We show that bursty influx exponentially decreases the mean escape time compared to the usual case of single-step influx. In particular, close to bifurcation we find a simple analytical expression for the mean escape time, which solely depends on the mean and variance of the burst-size distribution. Our results are demonstrated on several realistic distributions and compare well with numerical Monte-Carlo simulations.
Dengue viral infections show unique infection patterns arising from its four serot- ypes, (DENV-1,2,3,4). Its effects range from simple fever in primary infections to potentially fatal secondary infections. We analytically and numerically analyse virus dynamics and humoral response in a host during primary and secondary dengue infection for long periods using micro-epidemic models. The models presented here incorporate time delays, antibody dependent enhancement (ADE), a dynamic switch and a correlation factor between different DENV serotypes. We find that the viral load goes down to undetectable levels within 7-14 days as is observed for dengue infection, in both cases. For primary infection, the stability analysis of steady states shows interesting dependence on the time delay involved in the production of antibodies from plasma cells. We demonstrate the existence of a critical value for the immune response parameter, beyond which the infection gets completely cured. For secondary infections with a different serotype, the homologous antibody production is enhanced due to the influence of heterologous antibodies. The antibody production is also controlled by the correlation factor, which is a measure of similarities between the different DENV serotypes involved. Our results agree with clinically observed humoral responses for primary and secondary infections.
Recently the A/H1N1-2009 virus pandemic appeared in Mexico and in other nations. We present a study of this pandemic in the Mexican case using the SIR model to describe epidemics. This model is one of the simplest models but it has been a successful description of some epidemics of closed populations. We consider the data for the Mexican case and use the SIR model to make some predictions. Then, we generalize the SIR model in order to describe the spatial dynamics of the disease. We make a study of the spatial and temporal spread of the infected population with model parameters that are consistent with temporal SIR model parameters obtained by fitting to the Mexican case.
A population is considered stationary if the growth rate is zero and the age structure is constant. It thus follows that a population is considered non-stationary if either its growth rate is non-zero and/or its age structure is non-constant. We propose three properties that are related to the stationary population identity (SPI) of population biology by connecting it with stationary populations and non-stationary populations which are approaching stationarity. One of these important properties is that SPI can be applied to partition a population into stationary and non-stationary components. These properties provide deeper insights into cohort formation in real-world populations and the length of the duration for which stationary and non-stationary conditions hold. The new concepts are based on the time gap between the occurrence of stationary and non-stationary populations within the SPI framework that we refer to as Oscillatory SPI and the Amplitude of SPI. This article will appear in Bulletin of Mathematical Biology (Springer)
108 - R. Mansilla , R. Mendozas 2010
The network of 5823 cities of Mexico with a population more than 5000 inhabitants is studied. Our analysis is focused to the spectral properties of the adjacency matrix, the small-world properties of the network, the distribution of the clustering coefficients and the degree distribution of the vertices. The connection of these features with the spread of epidemics on this network is also discussed.
comments
Fetching comments Fetching comments
mircosoft-partner

هل ترغب بارسال اشعارات عن اخر التحديثات في شمرا-اكاديميا