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Register a new userA unified modeling approach for the static-dynamic uncertainty strategy in stochastic lot-sizing
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Added by
Roberto Rossi
Publication date
2013
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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In this paper, we develop mixed integer linear programming models to compute near-optimal policy parameters for the non-stationary stochastic lot sizing problem under Bookbinder and Tans static-dynamic uncertainty strategy. Our models build on piecewise linear upper and lower bounds of the first order loss function. We discuss different formulations of the stochastic lot sizing problem, in which the quality of service is captured by means of backorder penalty costs, non-stockout probability, or fill rate constraints. These models can be easily adapted to operate in settings in which unmet demand is backordered or lost. The proposed approach has a number of advantages with respect to existing methods in the literature: it enables seamless modelling of different variants of the above problem, which have been previously tackled via ad-hoc solution methods; and it produces an accurate estimation of the expected total cost, expressed in terms of upper and lower bounds. Our computational study demonstrates the effectiveness and flexibility of our models.
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We consider the non-stationary stochastic lot sizing problem with backorder costs and make a cost comparison among different lot-sizing strategies. We initially provide an overview of the strategies and some corresponding solution approaches in the literature. We then compare the cost performances of the lot-sizing strategies on a common test bed while taking into account the added value of realized demand information. The results of this numerical experience enable us to derive novel insights about the cost performance of different stochastic lot-sizing strategies under re-planning with respect to demand realization.
Continuous-time random disturbances (also called stochastic excitations) due to increasing renewable generation have an increasing impact on power system dynamics; However, except from the Monte Carlo simulation, most existing methods for quantifying this impact are intrusive, meaning they are not based on commercial simulation software and hence are difficult to use for power utility companies. To fill this gap, this paper proposes an efficient and nonintrusive method for quantifying uncertainty in dynamic power systems subject to stochastic excitations. First, the Gaussian or non-Gaussian stochastic excitations are modeled with an It^{o} process as stochastic differential equations. Then, the It^{o} process is spectrally represented by independent Gaussian random parameters, which enables the polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) of the system dynamic response to be calculated via an adaptive sparse probabilistic collocation method. Finally, the probability distribution and the high-order moments of the system dynamic response and performance index are accurately and efficiently quantified. The proposed nonintrusive method is based on commercial simulation software such as PSS/E with carefully designed input signals, which ensures ease of use for power utility companies. The proposed method is validated via case studies of IEEE 39-bus and 118-bus test systems.
Production and inventory planning have become crucial and challenging in nowadays competitive industrial and commercial sectors, especially when multiple plants or warehouses are involved. In this context, this paper addresses the complexity of uncapacitated multi-plant lot-sizing problems. We consider a multi-item uncapacitated multi-plant lot-sizing problem with fixed transfer costs and show that two of its very restricted special cases are already NP-hard. Namely, we show that the single-item uncapacitated multi-plant lot-sizing problem with a single period and the multi-item uncapacitated two-plant lot-sizing problem with fixed transfer costs are NP-hard. Furthermore, as a direct implication of the proven results, we also show that a two-echelon multi-item lot-sizing with joint setup costs on transportation is NP-hard.
In this paper, we propose a chance constrained stochastic model predictive control scheme for reference tracking of distributed linear time-invariant systems with additive stochastic uncertainty. The chance constraints are reformulated analytically based on mean-variance information, where we design suitable Probabilistic Reachable Sets for constraint tightening. Furthermore, the chance constraints are proven to be satisfied in closed-loop operation. The design of an invariant set for tracking complements the controller and ensures convergence to arbitrary admissible reference points, while a conditional initialization scheme provides the fundamental property of recursive feasibility. The paper closes with a numerical example, highlighting the convergence to changing output references and empirical constraint satisfaction.
This paper aims to answer the research question as to optimal design of decision-making processes for autonomous vehicles (AVs), including dynamical selection of driving velocity and route choices on a transportation network. Dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) has been widely used to model travelerss route choice or/and departure-time choice and predict dynamic traffic flow evolution in the short term. However, the existing DTA models do not explicitly describe ones selection of driving velocity on a road link. Driving velocity choice may not be crucial for modeling the movement of human drivers but it is a must-have control to maneuver AVs. In this paper, we aim to develop a game-theoretic model to solve for AVss optimal driving strategies of velocity control in the interior of a road link and route choice at a junction node. To this end, we will first reinterpret the DTA problem as an N-car differential game and show that this game can be tackled with a general mean field game-theoretic framework. The developed mean field game is challenging to solve because of the forward and backward structure for velocity control and the complementarity conditions for route choice. An efficient algorithm is developed to address these challenges. The model and the algorithm are illustrated on the Braess network and the OW network with a single destination. On the Braess network, we first compare the LWR based DTA model with the proposed game and find that the driving and routing control navigates AVs with overall lower costs. We then compare the total travel cost without and with the middle link and find that the Braess paradox may still arise under certain conditions. We also test our proposed model and solution algorithm on the OW network.
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