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Register a new userMultiplicative noise, fast convolution, and pricing
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In this work we detail the application of a fast convolution algorithm computing high dimensional integrals to the context of multiplicative noise stochastic processes. The algorithm provides a numerical solution to the problem of characterizing conditional probability density functions at arbitrary time, and we applied it successfully to quadratic and piecewise linear diffusion processes. The ability in reproducing statistical features of financial return time series, such as thickness of the tails and scaling properties, makes this processes appealing for option pricing. Since exact analytical results are missing, we exploit the fast convolution as a numerical method alternative to the Monte Carlo simulation both in objective and risk neutral settings. In numerical sections we document how fast convolution outperforms Monte Carlo both in velocity and efficiency terms.
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We show how spectral filters can improve the convergence of numerical schemes which use discrete Hilbert transforms based on a sinc function expansion, and thus ultimately on the fast Fourier transform. This is relevant, for example, for the computation of fluctuation identities, which give the distribution of the maximum or the minimum of a random path, or the joint distribution at maturity with the extrema staying below or above barriers. We use as examples the methods by Feng and Linetsky (2008) and Fusai, Germano and Marazzina (2016) to price discretely monitored barrier options where the underlying asset price is modelled by an exponential Levy process. Both methods show exponential convergence with respect to the number of grid points in most cases, but are limited to polynomial convergence under certain conditions. We relate these rates of convergence to the Gibbs phenomenon for Fourier transforms and achieve improved results with spectral filtering.
We study the pricing and hedging of European spread options on correlated assets when, in contrast to the standard framework and consistent with imperfect liquidity markets, the trading in the stock market has a direct impact on stocks prices. We consider a partial-impact and a full-impact model in which the price impact is caused by every trading strategy in the market. The generalized Black-Scholes pricing partial differential equations (PDEs) are obtained and analysed. We perform a numerical analysis to exhibit the illiquidity effect on the replication strategy of the European spread option. Compared to the Black-Scholes model or a partial impact model, the trader in the full impact model buys more stock to replicate the option, and this leads to a higher option price.
Using a relation due to Katz linking up additive and multiplicative convolutions, we make explicit the behaviour of some Hodge invariants by middle multiplicative convolution, following [DS13] and [Mar18a] in the additive case. Moreover, the main theorem gives a new proof of a result of Fedorov computing the Hodge invariants of hypergeometric equations.
In this paper we investigate price and Greeks computation of a Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) Variable Annuity (VA) when both stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate are considered together in the Heston Hull-White model. We consider a numerical method the solves the dynamic control problem due to the computing of the optimal withdrawal. Moreover, in order to speed up the computation, we employ Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). Starting from observed prices previously computed for some known combinations of model parameters, it is possible to approximate the whole price function on a defined domain. The regression algorithm consists of algorithm training and evaluation. The first step is the most time demanding, but it needs to be performed only once, while the latter is very fast and it requires to be performed only when predicting the target function. The developed method, as well as for the calculation of prices and Greeks, can also be employed to compute the no-arbitrage fee, which is a common practice in the Variable Annuities sector. Numerical experiments show that the accuracy of the values estimated by GPR is high with very low computational cost. Finally, we stress out that the analysis is carried out for a GMWB annuity but it could be generalized to other insurance products.
We propose a novel algorithm which allows to sample paths from an underlying price process in a local volatility model and to achieve a substantial variance reduction when pricing exotic options. The new algorithm relies on the construction of a discrete multinomial tree. The crucial feature of our approach is that -- in a similar spirit to the Brownian Bridge -- each random path runs backward from a terminal fixed point to the initial spot price. We characterize the tree in two alternative ways: in terms of the optimal grids originating from the Recursive Marginal Quantization algorithm and following an approach inspired by the finite difference approximation of the diffusions infinitesimal generator. We assess the reliability of the new methodology comparing the performance of both approaches and benchmarking them with competitor Monte Carlo methods.
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