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Hans Kristian Eriksen
Publication date
2011
fields
Physics
and research's language is
English
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In a recent preprint (CCC-predicted low-variance circles in the CMB sky and LCDM), Gurzadyan and Penrose (2011) claim for the second time to find evidence for pre-Big Bang activity in the form of concentric circles of low variance in the WMAP data. The same claim was made in November 2010, but quickly shown to be false by three independent groups. The culprit was simply that Gurzadyan and Penroses simulations were based on an inappropriate power spectrum. In the most recent paper, they now claim that the significance is indeed low if the simulations are based on the realization-specific WMAP spectrum (ie., the one directly measured from the sky maps and affected by cosmic variance), but not if the simulations are based on a theoretical LCDM spectrum. In this respect, we note that the three independent reanalyses all based their simulations on the LCDM spectrum, not the observed WMAP spectrum, and this alone should suffice to show that the updated claims are also incorrect. In fact, it is evident from the plots shown in their new paper that the spectrum is still incorrect, although in a different way than in their first paper. Thus, Gurzadyan and Penroses new claims are just as wrong as those made in the first paper, and for the same reason: The simulations are not based on an appropriate power spectrum. Still, while this story is of little physical interest, it may have some important implications in terms of scienctific sociology: Looking back at the background papers leading up to the present series by Gurzadyan and Penrose, in particular one introducing the Kolmogorov statistic, we believe one can find evidence that a community based and open access referee process may be more efficient at rejecting incorrect results and claims than a traditional journal based approach.
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In arXiv:1105.1081, Eriksen and Wehus try to criticise the use of Kolmogorovs stochasticity parameter (KSP) for CMB data analysis. Their discussion is based on a serious misunderstanding of the randomness and Arnolds work. Their note includes numerous further inaccuracies and groundless statements. However, this short note is concerned with KSP method only.
The existence of concentric low variance circles in the CMB sky, generated by black-hole encounters in an aeon preceding our big bang, is a prediction of the Conformal Cyclic Cosmology. Detection of three families of such circles in WMAP data was recently reported by Gurzadyan & Penrose (2010). We reassess the statistical significance of those circles by comparing with Monte Carlo simulations of the CMB sky with realistic modeling of the anisotropic noise in WMAP data. We find that the circles are not anomalous and that all three groups are consistent at 3sigma level with a Gaussian CMB sky as predicted by inflationary cosmology model.
An important, and potentially detectable, signature of a non-trivial topology for the universe is the presence of so called circles-in-the-sky in the cosmic microwave background (CMB). Recent searches, confined to antipodal and nearly antipodal circles, have however failed to detect any. This outcome, coupled with recent theoretical results concerning the detectability of very nearly flat universes, is sufficient to exclude a detectable non-trivial cosmic topology for most observers in the inflationary limit ($0< |Omega_{tot}-1| lesssim 10^{-5}$). In a recent paper we have studied the consequences of these searches for circles if the Universe turns out to be exactly flat ($Omega_{tot} = 1 $) as is often assumed. More specifically, we have derived the maximum angles of deviation possible from antipodicity of pairs of matching circles associated with the shortest closed geodesic for all multiply-connected flat orientable $3$-manifolds. These upper bounds on the deviation from antipodicity demonstrate that in a flat universe for some classes of topology there remains a substantial fraction of observers for whom the deviation from antipodicity of the matching circles is considerably larger than zero, which implies that the searches for circles-in-the-sky undertaken so far are not enough to exclude the possibility of a detectable non-trivial flat topology. Here we briefly review these results and discuss their consequences in the search for circles-in-the-sky in a flat universes.
[Abridged] In a Universe with a detectable nontrivial spatial topology the last scattering surface contains pairs of matching circles with the same distribution of temperature fluctuations - the so-called circles-in-the-sky. Searches for nearly antipodal circles in maps of cosmic microwave background have so far been unsuccessful. This negative outcome along with recent theoretical results concerning the detectability of nearly flat compact topologies is sufficient to exclude a detectable nontrivial topology for most observers in very nearly flat positively and negatively curved Universes ($0<|Omega_{tot}-1| lesssim 10^{-5}$). Here we investigate the consequences of these searches for observable nontrivial topologies if the Universe turns out to be exactly flat ($Omega_{tot}=1$). We demonstrate that in this case the conclusions deduced from such searches can be radically different. We show that for all multiply-connected orientable flat manifolds it is possible to directly study the action of the holonomies in order to obtain a general upper bound on the angle that characterizes the deviation from antipodicity of pairs of matching circles associated with the shortest closed geodesic. This bound is valid for all observers and all possible values of the compactification length parameters. We also show that in a flat Universe there are observers for whom the circles-in-the-sky searches already undertaken are insufficient to exclude the possibility of a detectable nontrivial spatial topology. It is remarkable how such small variations in the spatial curvature of the Universe, which are effectively indistinguishable geometrically, can have such a drastic effect on the detectability of cosmic topology.
The next generation of Cosmic Microwave Background experiments will produce cosmic variance limited observations over a large fraction of sky and for a large range of multipoles. In this work we discuss different consistency tests that can be performed with the upcoming data from the Simons Observatory and the Planck data. We quantify the level of expected cosmological parameter shifts probed by these tests. We discuss the effect of difference in frequency of observation and present forecasts on a direct measurement of the Planck T-to-E leakage beam. We find that instrumental systematics in either of the experiments will be assessed with an exquisite precision, well beyond the intrinsic uncertainties due to the CMB cosmic variance.
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