Subscribe to the gold package and get unlimited access to Shamra Academy
Register a new userModeling Non-Stationary Processes Through Dimension Expansion
177
0
0.0
(
0
)
Added by
Luke Bornn
Publication date
2010
fields
Mathematical Statistics
and research's language is
English
Ask ChatGPT about the research
No Arabic abstract
In this paper, we propose a novel approach to modeling nonstationary spatial fields. The proposed method works by expanding the geographic plane over which these processes evolve into higher dimensional spaces, transforming and clarifying complex patterns in the physical plane. By combining aspects of multi-dimensional scaling, group lasso, and latent variables models, a dimensionally sparse projection is found in which the originally nonstationary field exhibits stationarity. Following a comparison with existing methods in a simulated environment, dimension expansion is studied on a classic test-bed data set historically used to study nonstationary models. Following this, we explore the use of dimension expansion in modeling air pollution in the United Kingdom, a process known to be strongly influenced by rural/urban effects, amongst others, which gives rise to a nonstationary field.
rate research
Read More
Two-sample and independence tests with the kernel-based MMD and HSIC have shown remarkable results on i.i.d. data and stationary random processes. However, these statistics are not directly applicable to non-stationary random processes, a prevalent form of data in many scientific disciplines. In this work, we extend the application of MMD and HSIC to non-stationary settings by assuming access to independent realisations of the underlying random process. These realisations - in the form of non-stationary time-series measured on the same temporal grid - can then be viewed as i.i.d. samples from a multivariate probability distribution, to which MMD and HSIC can be applied. We further show how to choose suitable kernels over these high-dimensional spaces by maximising the estimated test power with respect to the kernel hyper-parameters. In experiments on synthetic data, we demonstrate superior performance of our proposed approaches in terms of test power when compared to current state-of-the-art functional or multivariate two-sample and independence tests. Finally, we employ our methods on a real socio-economic dataset as an example application.
This paper is concerned with regularized extensions of hierarchical non-stationary temporal Gaussian processes (NSGPs) in which the parameters (e.g., length-scale) are modeled as GPs. In particular, we consider two commonly used NSGP constructions which are based on explicitly constructed non-stationary covariance functions and stochastic differential equations, respectively. We extend these NSGPs by including $L^1$-regularization on the processes in order to induce sparseness. To solve the resulting regularized NSGP (R-NSGP) regression problem we develop a method based on the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) and we also analyze its convergence properties theoretically. We also evaluate the performance of the proposed methods in simulated and real-world datasets.
We study causality between bivariate curve time series using the Granger causality generalized measures of correlation. With this measure, we can investigate which curve time series Granger-causes the other; in turn, it helps determine the predictability of any two curve time series. Illustrated by a climatology example, we find that the sea surface temperature Granger-causes the sea-level atmospheric pressure. Motivated by a portfolio management application in finance, we single out those stocks that lead or lag behind Dow-Jones industrial averages. Given a close relationship between S&P 500 index and crude oil price, we determine the leading and lagging variables.
We propose an alternative to $k$-nearest neighbors for functional data whereby the approximating neighboring curves are piecewise functions built from a functional sample. Using a locally defined distance function that satisfies stabilization criteria, we establish pointwise and global approximation results in function spaces when the number of data curves is large enough. We exploit this feature to develop the asymptotic theory when a finite number of curves is observed at time-points given by an i.i.d. sample whose cardinality increases up to infinity. We use these results to investigate the problem of estimating unobserved segments of a partially observed functional data sample as well as to study the problem of functional classification and outlier detection. For such problems, our methods are competitive with and sometimes superior to benchmark predictions in the field.
We describe how to analyze the wide class of non stationary processes with stationary centered increments using Shannon information theory. To do so, we use a practical viewpoint and define ersatz quantities from time-averaged probability distributions. These ersa
Log in to be able to interact and post comments
comments
Fetching comments
Sign in to be able to follow your search criteria
