Second-Harmonic Scatteringh (SHS) experiments provide a unique approach to probe non-centrosymmetric environments in aqueous media, from bulk solutions to interfaces, living cells and tissue. A central assumption made in analyzing SHS experiments is that the each molecule scatters light according to a constant molecular hyperpolarizability tensor $boldsymbol{beta}^{(2)}$. Here, we investigate the dependence of the molecular hyperpolarizability of water on its environment and internal geometric distortions, in order to test the hypothesis of constant $boldsymbol{beta}^{(2)}$. We use quantum chemistry calculations of the hyperpolarizability of a molecule embedded in point-charge environments obtained from simulations of bulk water. We demonstrate that both the heterogeneity of the solvent configurations and the quantum mechanical fluctuations of the molecular geometry introduce large variations in the non-linear optical response of water. This finding has the potential to change the way SHS experiments are interpreted: in particular, isotopic differences between H$_2$O and D$_2$O could explain recent second-harmonic scattering observations. Finally, we show that a simple machine-learning framework can predict accurately the fluctuations of the molecular hyperpolarizability. This model accounts for the microscopic inhomogeneity of the solvent and represents a first step towards quantitative modelling of SHS experiments.
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