Herd Behaviors in Financial Markets


الملخص بالإنكليزية

We investigate the herd behavior of returns for the yen-dollar exchange rate in the Japanese financial market. It is obtained that the probability distribution $P(R)$ of returns $R$ satisfies the power-law behavior $P(R) simeq R^{-beta}$ with the exponents $ beta=3.11$(the time interval $tau=$ one minute) and 3.36($tau=$ one day). The informational cascade regime appears in the herding parameter $Hge 2.33$ at $tau=$ one minute, while it occurs no herding at $tau=$ one day. Especially, we find that the distribution of normalized returns shows a crossover to a Gaussian distribution at one time step $Delta t=1$ day.

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