Ferroelectricity in hafnia is often regarded as a breakthrough discovery in ferroelectrics, potentially able to revolutionize the whole field. Despite increasing interests, a comprehensive understanding of the many factors driving the ferroelectric stabilization is still lacking. We here address the phase transition in terms of a Landau-theory-based approach, by analyzing symmetry-allowed distortions connecting the high-symmetry paraelectric tetragonal phase to the low-symmetry polar orthorhombic phase. By means of first-principles simulations, we find that the $Gamma_{3-}$ polar mode is only weakly unstable, whereas the other two symmetry-allowed distortions, non-polar Y$_{2+}$ and anti-polar Y$_{4-}$ are hard modes. None of the modes, taken alone or combined with one other mode, is able to drive the transition: the key factor in stabilizing the polar phase is identified as the strong trilinear coupling among the three modes. Furthermore, the experimentally acknowledged importance of substrate-induced effects in the growth of HfO$_2$ ferroelectric thin films, along with the lack of a clear order parameter in the transition, suggested the extension of our analysis to strain effects. Our findings suggest a complex behaviour of the Y$_{2+}$ mode, which become unstable under certain strain conditions and an overall unstable behaviour for the $Gamma_{3-}$ polar mode for all the strain states. A robust result emerges from our analysis: independently of the different applied strain (compressive or tensile, applied along orthorhombic axes), the need of a simultaneous excitation of the three coupled modes remain unaltered. Finally, when applied to mimic experimental growth conditions under strain, our analysis show a further stabilization of the ferroelectric phase with respect to the unstrained case, in agreeement with experimental findings.
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