While 2D materials attract considerable interests for their exotic electronic and mechanical properties, their phase behaviour is still largely not understood. This work focuses on (Mo:Ti)S$_2$ binary alloys which have captured the interest of the tribology community for their good performance in solid lubrication applications and whose chemistry and crystallography is still debated. Using electronic structures calculations and statistical mechanics we predict a phase-separating behaviour for the system and trace its origin to the energetics of the $d$-band manifold due to crystal field splitting. Our predicted solubility limits as a function of temperature are in accordance with experimental data and demonstrate the utility of this protocol in understanding and designing TMD alloys.
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