Background: We estimated the potential number of newly diagnosed HIV infections among adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) using a venue-based approach to HIV testing at sex work hotspots. Methods: We used hotspot enumeration and cross-sectional bio-behavioural survey data from the 2015 Transitions Study of AGYW aged 14-24 years who frequented hotspots in Mombasa, Kenya. We compared the HIV cascade among AGYW who sell sex (YSW, N=408) versus those who do not (NSW, N=891); and triangulated the potential (100% test acceptance and accuracy) and feasible (accounting for test acceptance and sensitivity) number of AGYW that could be newly diagnosed via hotspot-based HIV rapid testing in Mombasa. We identified the profile of AGYW recently tested for HIV (in the past year) using multivariable logistic regression. Results: N=37/365 (10.1%) YSW and N=30/828 (3.6%) NSW were living with HIV, of whom 27.0% (N=10/37) and 30.0% (N=9/30) were diagnosed and aware (p=0.79). Rapid test acceptance was 89.3% and sensitivity was 80.4%. Hotspot enumeration estimated 15,635 (range: 12,172-19,097) AGYW in hotspots in Mombasa. The potential and feasible number of new diagnosis were 627 (310-1,081), and 450 (223-776), respectively. Thus, hotspot-based testing could feasibly reduce the undiagnosed fraction from 71.6% to 20.2%. The profile of AGYW who recently tested was similar among YSW and NSW. YSW were two-fold more likely to report a recent HIV test after adjusting for other determinants [odds ratio (95% CI): 2.1 (1.6-3.1)]. Conclusion: Reaching AGYW via hotspot-based HIV testing could fill gaps left by traditional, clinic-based HIV prevention and testing services.
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