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Risk-sensitive safety analysis is a safety analysis method for stochastic systems on Borel spaces that uses a risk functional from finance called Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). CVaR provides a particularly expressive way to quantify the safety of a control system, as it represents the average cost in a fraction of worst cases. In prior work, the notion of a risk-sensitive safe set was defined in terms of a non-standard optimal control problem, in which a maximum cost is assessed via CVaR. Here, we provide a method to compute risk-sensitive safe sets exactly in principle by utilizing a state-space augmentation technique. In addition, we prove the existence of an optimal pre-commitment policy under a measurable selection condition. The proposed framework assumes continuous system dynamics and cost functions, but is otherwise flexible. In particular, it can accommodate probabilistic control policies, fairly general disturbance distributions, and control-dependent, non-monotonic, and non-convex stage costs. We demonstrate how risk-sensitive safety analysis is useful for a stormwater infrastructure application. Our numerical examples are inspired by current challenges that cities face in managing precipitation uncertainty.
This paper develops a safety analysis method for stochastic systems that is sensitive to the possibility and severity of rare harmful outcomes. We define risk-sensitive safe sets as sub-level sets of the solution to a non-standard optimal control pro
This paper proposes a safety analysis method that facilitates a tunable balance between the worst-case and risk-neutral perspectives. First, we define a risk-sensitive safe set to specify the degree of safety attained by a stochastic system. This set
In this paper, we consider discrete-time partially observed mean-field games with the risk-sensitive optimality criterion. We introduce risk-sensitivity behaviour for each agent via an exponential utility function. In the game model, each agent is we
Given a stochastic dynamical system modelled via stochastic differential equations (SDEs), we evaluate the safety of the system through characterisations of its exit time moments. We lift the (possibly nonlinear) dynamics into the space of the occupa
We develop a risk-averse safety analysis method for stochastic systems on discrete infinite time horizons. Our method quantifies the notion of risk for a control system in terms of the severity of a harmful random outcome in a fraction of worst cases