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Many statistical inference problems correspond to recovering the values of a set of hidden variables from sparse observations on them. For instance, in a planted constraint satisfaction problem such as planted 3-SAT, the clauses are sparse observations from which the hidden assignment is to be recovered. In the problem of community detection in a stochastic block model, the community labels are hidden variables that are to be recovered from the edges of the graph. Inspired by ideas from statistical physics, the presence of a stable fixed point for belief propogation has been widely conjectured to characterize the computational tractability of these problems. For community detection in stochastic block models, many of these predictions have been rigorously confirmed. In this work, we consider a general model of statistical inference problems that includes both community detection in stochastic block models, and all planted constraint satisfaction problems as special cases. We carry out the cavity method calculations from statistical physics to compute the regime of parameters where detection and recovery should be algorithmically tractable. At precisely the predicted tractable regime, we give: (i) a general polynomial-time algorithm for the problem of detection: distinguishing an input with a planted signal from one without; (ii) a general polynomial-time algorithm for the problem of recovery: outputting a vector that correlates with the hidden assignment significantly better than a random guess would.
We study several bayesian inference problems for irreversible stochastic epidemic models on networks from a statistical physics viewpoint. We derive equations which allow to accurately compute the posterior distribution of the time evolution of the s
Max-product Belief Propagation (BP) is a popular message-passing algorithm for computing a Maximum-A-Posteriori (MAP) assignment over a distribution represented by a Graphical Model (GM). It has been shown that BP can solve a number of combinatorial
In this note, we design a discrete random walk on the real line which takes steps $0, pm 1$ (and one with steps in ${pm 1, 2}$) where at least $96%$ of the signs are $pm 1$ in expectation, and which has $mathcal{N}(0,1)$ as a stationary distribution.
We establish connections between several properties of topological dynamical systems, such as: - every point is generic for an ergodic measure, - the map sending points to the measures they generate is continuous, - the system splits into uniquely (a
We propose a nonparametric generalization of belief propagation, Kernel Belief Propagation (KBP), for pairwise Markov random fields. Messages are represented as functions in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), and message updates are simple li