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This work studies the effectiveness of several machine learning techniques for predicting extreme events occurring in the flow around an airfoil at low Reynolds. For certain Reynolds numbers the aerodynamic forces exhibit intermittent fluctuations caused by changes in the behavior of vortices in the airfoil wake. Such events are prototypical of the unsteady behavior observed in airfoils at low Reynolds and their prediction is extremely challenging due to their intermittency and the chaotic nature of the flow. We seek to forecast these fluctuations in advance of their occurrence by a specified length of time. We assume knowledge only of the pressure at a discrete set of points on the surface of the airfoil, as well as offline knowledge of the state of the flow. Methods include direct prediction from historical pressure measurements, flow reconstruction followed by forward integration using a full order solver, and data-driven dynamic models in various low dimensional quantities. Methods are compared using several criteria tailored for extreme event prediction. We show that methods using data-driven models of low order dynamic variables outperform those without dynamic models and that unlike previous works, low dimensional initializations do not accurately predict observables with extreme events such as drag.
The present study addresses the reaction zone structure and burning mechanism of unstable detonations. Experiments investigated mainly two-dimensional methane-oxygen cellular detonations in a thin channel geometry. The sufficiently high temporal reso
We investigate the ability of 4D Particle Tracking Velocimetry measurements at high particle density to explore intermittency and irreversibility in a turbulent swirling flow at various Reynolds numbers. For this, we devise suitable tools to remove t
Inviscid computational results are presented on a self-propelled virtual body combined with an airfoil undergoing pitch oscillations about its leading-edge. The scaling trends of the time-averaged thrust forces are shown to be predicted accurately by
The application of drag-control strategies on canonical wall-bounded turbulence, such as periodic channel and zero- or adverse-pressure-gradient boundary layers, raises the question of how to describe control effects consistently for different refere
A phenomenological theory of the fluctuations of velocity occurring in a fully developed homogeneous and isotropic turbulent flow is presented. The focus is made on the fluctuations of the spatial (Eulerian) and temporal (Lagrangian) velocity increme