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The numerical solution of differential equations can be formulated as an inference problem to which formal statistical approaches can be applied. However, nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) pose substantial challenges from an inferential perspective, most notably the absence of explicit conditioning formula. This paper extends earlier work on linear PDEs to a general class of initial value problems specified by nonlinear PDEs, motivated by problems for which evaluations of the right-hand-side, initial conditions, or boundary conditions of the PDE have a high computational cost. The proposed method can be viewed as exact Bayesian inference under an approximate likelihood, which is based on discretisation of the nonlinear differential operator. Proof-of-concept experimental results demonstrate that meaningful probabilistic uncertainty quantification for the unknown solution of the PDE can be performed, while controlling the number of times the right-hand-side, initial and boundary conditions are evaluated. A suitable prior model for the solution of the PDE is identified using novel theoretical analysis of the sample path properties of Mat{e}rn processes, which may be of independent interest.
In recent years, sparse spectral methods for solving partial differential equations have been derived using hierarchies of classical orthogonal polynomials on intervals, disks, disk-slices and triangles. In this work we extend the methodology to a hi
We develop in this work a numerical method for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with weak second order accuracy based on Gaussian mixture. Unlike the conventional higher order schemes for SDEs based on It^o-Taylor expansion and iterated It^o
We consider the construction of semi-implicit linear multistep methods which can be applied to time dependent PDEs where the separation of scales in additive form, typically used in implicit-explicit (IMEX) methods, is not possible. As shown in Bosca
The onerous task of repeatedly resolving certain parametrized partial differential equations (pPDEs) in, e.g. the optimization context, makes it imperative to design vastly more efficient numerical solvers without sacrificing any accuracy. The reduce
In this paper we consider sequential joint state and static parameter estimation given discrete time observations associated to a partially observed stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). It is assumed that one can only estimate the hidden