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We discuss a set of computational techniques, called Inductive Game Theory, for extracting strategic decision-making rules from time series data and constructing probabilistic social circuits. We construct these circuits by connecting component individuals and groups with strategies in a game and propose an inductive approach to reconstructing the edges. We demonstrate this approach with conflict behavior in a society of pigtailed macaques by identifying significant patterns in decision-making by individuals. With the constructed circuit, we then capture macroscopic features of the system that were not specified in the construction of the initial circuit, providing a mapping between individual level behaviors to collective behaviors over the scale of the group. We extend on previous work in Inductive Game Theory by more efficiently searching the space of possible strategies by grouping individuals into socially relevant sets to produce a more efficient, parsimonious specification of the underlying interactions between components. We discuss how we reduce the dimensionality of these circuits using coarse-graining or compression to build cognitive effective theories for collective behavior.
We demonstrate the power of data mining techniques for the analysis of collective social dynamics within British Tweets during the Olympic Games 2012. The classification accuracy of online activities related to the successes of British athletes signi
Current social networks are of extremely large-scale generating tremendous information flows at every moment. How information diffuse over social networks has attracted much attention from both industry and academics. Most of the existing works on in
We introduce a new threshold model of social networks, in which the nodes influenced by their neighbours can adopt one out of several alternatives. We characterize social networks for which adoption of a product by the whole network is possible (resp
State-of-the-art link prediction utilizes combinations of complex features derived from network panel data. We here show that computationally less expensive features can achieve the same performance in the common scenario in which the data is availab
We investigate the impact of noise and topology on opinion diversity in social networks. We do so by extending well-established models of opinion dynamics to a stochastic setting where agents are subject both to assimilative forces by their local soc