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Predicting Abnormal Returns From News Using Text Classification

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 نشر من قبل Ronny Luss
 تاريخ النشر 2009
  مجال البحث الهندسة المعلوماتية
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We show how text from news articles can be used to predict intraday price movements of financial assets using support vector machines. Multiple kernel learning is used to combine equity returns with text as predictive features to increase classification performance and we develop an analytic center cutting plane method to solve the kernel learning problem efficiently. We observe that while the direction of returns is not predictable using either text or returns, their size is, with text features producing significantly better performance than historical returns alone.



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