Using various techniques from dynamical systems theory, we rigorously study an experimentally validated model by [Barkley et al., Nature, 526:550-553, 2015], which describes the rise of turbulent pipe flow via a PDE system of reduced complexity. The fast evolution of turbulence is governed by reaction-diffusion dynamics coupled to the centerline velocity, which evolves with advection of Burgers type and a slow relaminarization term. Applying to this model a spatial dynamics ansatz and geometric singular perturbation theory, we prove the existence of a heteroclinic loop between a turbulent and a laminar steady state and establish a cascade of bifurcations of various traveling waves mediating the transition to turbulence. The most complicated behaviour can be found in an intermediate Reynolds number regime, where the traveling waves exhibit arbitrarily long periodic-like dynamics indicating the onset of chaos. Our analysis provides a systematic mathematical approach to identifying the transition to spatio-temporal turbulent structures that may also be applicable to other models arising in fluid dynamics.
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