Subscribe to the gold package and get unlimited access to Shamra Academy
Register a new userAutoScore-Imbalance: An interpretable machine learning tool for development of clinical scores with rare events data
95
0
0.0
(
0
)
Added by
Nan Liu
Publication date
2021
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
Ask ChatGPT about the research
No Arabic abstract
Background: Medical decision-making impacts both individual and public health. Clinical scores are commonly used among a wide variety of decision-making models for determining the degree of disease deterioration at the bedside. AutoScore was proposed as a useful clinical score generator based on machine learning and a generalized linear model. Its current framework, however, still leaves room for improvement when addressing unbalanced data of rare events. Methods: Using machine intelligence approaches, we developed AutoScore-Imbalance, which comprises three components: training dataset optimization, sample weight optimization, and adjusted AutoScore. All scoring models were evaluated on the basis of their area under the curve (AUC) in the receiver operating characteristic analysis and balanced accuracy (i.e., mean value of sensitivity and specificity). By utilizing a publicly accessible dataset from Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, we assessed the proposed model and baseline approaches in the prediction of inpatient mortality. Results: AutoScore-Imbalance outperformed baselines in terms of AUC and balanced accuracy. The nine-variable AutoScore-Imbalance sub-model achieved the highest AUC of 0.786 (0.732-0.839) while the eleven-variable original AutoScore obtained an AUC of 0.723 (0.663-0.783), and the logistic regression with 21 variables obtained an AUC of 0.743 (0.685-0.800). The AutoScore-Imbalance sub-model (using down-sampling algorithm) yielded an AUC of 0. 0.771 (0.718-0.823) with only five variables, demonstrating a good balance between performance and variable sparsity. Conclusions: The AutoScore-Imbalance tool has the potential to be applied to highly unbalanced datasets to gain further insight into rare medical events and to facilitate real-world clinical decision-making.
rate research
Read More
Scoring systems are highly interpretable and widely used to evaluate time-to-event outcomes in healthcare research. However, existing time-to-event scores are predominantly created ad-hoc using a few manually selected variables based on clinicians knowledge, suggesting an unmet need for a robust and efficient generic score-generating method. AutoScore was previously developed as an interpretable machine learning score generator, integrated both machine learning and point-based scores in the strong discriminability and accessibility. We have further extended it to time-to-event data and developed AutoScore-Survival, for automatically generating time-to-event scores with right-censored survival data. Random survival forest provides an efficient solution for selecting variables, and Cox regression was used for score weighting. We illustrated our method in a real-life study of 90-day mortality of patients in intensive care units and compared its performance with survival models (i.e., Cox) and the random survival forest. The AutoScore-Survival-derived scoring model was more parsimonious than survival models built using traditional variable selection methods (e.g., penalized likelihood approach and stepwise variable selection), and its performance was comparable to survival models using the same set of variables. Although AutoScore-Survival achieved a comparable integrated area under the curve of 0.782 (95% CI: 0.767-0.794), the integer-valued time-to-event scores generated are favorable in clinical applications because they are easier to compute and interpret. Our proposed AutoScore-Survival provides an automated, robust and easy-to-use machine learning-based clinical score generator to studies of time-to-event outcomes. It provides a systematic guideline to facilitate the future development of time-to-event scores for clinical applications.
Machine learning technologies are expected to be great tools for scientific discoveries. In particular, materials development (which has brought a lot of innovation by finding new and better functional materials) is one of the most attractive scientific fields. To apply machine learning to actual materials development, collaboration between scientists and machine learning is becoming inevitable. However, such collaboration has been restricted so far due to black box machine learning, in which it is difficult for scientists to interpret the data-driven model from the viewpoint of material science and physics. Here, we show a material development success story that was achieved by good collaboration between scientists and one type of interpretable (explainable) machine learning called factorized asymptotic Bayesian inference hierarchical mixture of experts (FAB/HMEs). Based on material science and physics, we interpreted the data-driven model constructed by the FAB/HMEs, so that we discovered surprising correlation and knowledge about thermoelectric material. Guided by this, we carried out actual material synthesis that led to identification of a novel spin-driven thermoelectric material with the largest thermopower to date.
Image Quality Assessment (IQA) is important for scientific inquiry, especially in medical imaging and machine learning. Potential data quality issues can be exacerbated when human-based workflows use limited views of the data that may obscure digital artifacts. In practice, multiple factors such as network issues, accelerated acquisitions, motion artifacts, and imaging protocol design can impede the interpretation of image collections. The medical image processing community has developed a wide variety of tools for the inspection and validation of imaging data. Yet, IQA of computed tomography (CT) remains an under-recognized challenge, and no user-friendly tool is commonly available to address these potential issues. Here, we create and illustrate a pipeline specifically designed to identify and resolve issues encountered with large-scale data mining of clinically acquired CT data. Using the widely studied National Lung Screening Trial (NLST), we have identified approximately 4% of image volumes with quality concerns out of 17,392 scans. To assess robustness, we applied the proposed pipeline to our internal datasets where we find our tool is generalizable to clinically acquired medical images. In conclusion, the tool has been useful and time-saving for research study of clinical data, and the code and tutorials are publicly available at https://github.com/MASILab/QA_tool.
We present GalaxAI - a versatile machine learning toolbox for efficient and interpretable end-to-end analysis of spacecraft telemetry data. GalaxAI employs various machine learning algorithms for multivariate time series analyses, classification, regression and structured output prediction, capable of handling high-throughput heterogeneous data. These methods allow for the construction of robust and accurate predictive models, that are in turn applied to different tasks of spacecraft monitoring and operations planning. More importantly, besides the accurate building of models, GalaxAI implements a visualisation layer, providing mission specialists and operators with a full, detailed and interpretable view of the data analysis process. We show the utility and versatility of GalaxAI on two use-cases concerning two different spacecraft: i) analysis and planning of Mars Express thermal power consumption and ii) predicting of INTEGRALs crossings through Van Allen belts.
In machine learning contests such as the ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge and the KDD Cup, contestants can submit candidate solutions and receive from an oracle (typically the organizers of the competition) the accuracy of their guesses compared to the ground-truth labels. One of the most commonly used accuracy metrics for binary classification tasks is the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve (AUC). In this paper we provide proofs-of-concept of how knowledge of the AUC of a set of guesses can be used, in two different kinds of attacks, to improve the accuracy of those guesses. On the other hand, we also demonstrate the intractability of one kind of AUC exploit by proving that the number of possible binary labelings of $n$ examples for which a candidate solution obtains a AUC score of $c$ grows exponentially in $n$, for every $cin (0,1)$.
suggested questions
Log in to be able to interact and post comments
comments
Fetching comments
Sign in to be able to follow your search criteria
