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Rapid and Robust Parameter Inference for Binary Mergers

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 Added by Neil J. Cornish
 Publication date 2021
  fields Physics
and research's language is English




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The detection rate for compact binary mergers has grown as the sensitivity of the global network of ground based gravitational wave detectors has improved, now reaching the stage where robust automation of the analyses is essential. Automated low-latency algorithms have been developed that send out alerts when candidate signals are detected. The alerts include sky maps to facilitate electromagnetic follow up observations, along with probabilities that the system might contain a neutron star, and hence be more likely to generate an electromagnetic counterpart. Data quality issues, such as loud noise transients (glitches), can adversely affect the low-latency algorithms, causing false alarms and throwing off parameter estimation. Here a new analysis method is presented that is robust against glitches, and capable of producing fully Bayesian parameter inference, including sky maps and mass estimates, in a matter of minutes. Key elements of the method are wavelet-based de-noising, penalized maximization of the likelihood during the initial search, rapid sky localization using pre-computed inner products, and heterodyned likelihoods for full Bayesian inference.



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108 - Neil J. Cornish 2021
Inferring the source properties of a gravitational wave signal has traditionally been very computationally intensive and time consuming. In recent years, several techniques have been developed that can significantly reduce the computational cost while delivering rapid and accurate parameter inference. One of the most powerful of these techniques is the heterodyned likelihood, which uses a reference waveform to base-band the likelihood calculation. Here an efficient implementation of the heterodyned likelihood is presented that can be used for a wide range of signal types and for both ground based and space based interferometers. The computational savings relative to direct calculation of the likelihood vary between two and four orders of magnitude depending on the system. The savings are greatest for low mass systems such as neutron star binaries. The heterodyning procedure can incorporate marginalization over calibration uncertainties and the noise power spectrum.
Third-generation (3G) gravitational-wave detectors will observe thousands of coalescing neutron star binaries with unprecedented fidelity. Extracting the highest precision science from these signals is expected to be challenging owing to both high signal-to-noise ratios and long-duration signals. We demonstrate that current Bayesian inference paradigms can be extended to the analysis of binary neutron star signals without breaking the computational bank. We construct reduced order models for $sim 90,mathrm{minute}$ long gravitational-wave signals, covering the observing band ($5-2048,mathrm{Hz}$), speeding up inference by a factor of $sim 1.3times 10^4$ compared to the calculation times without reduced order models. The reduced order models incorporate key physics including the effects of tidal deformability, amplitude modulation due to the Earths rotation, and spin-induced orbital precession. We show how reduced order modeling can accelerate inference on data containing multiple, overlapping gravitational-wave signals, and determine the speedup as a function of the number of overlapping signals. Thus, we conclude that Bayesian inference is computationally tractable for the long-lived, overlapping, high signal-to-noise-ratio events present in 3G observatories.
68 - Jacob Lange 2018
Extending prior work by Pankow et al, we introduce RIFT, an algorithm to perform Rapid parameter Inference on gravitational wave sources via Iterative Fitting. We demonstrate this approach can correctly recover the parameters of coalescing compact binary systems, using detailed comparisons of RIFT to the well-tested LALInference software library. We provide several examples where the unique speed and flexibility of RIFT enables otherwise intractable or awkward parameter inference analyses, including (a) adopting either costly and novel models for outgoing gravitational waves; and (b) mixed approximations, each suitable to different parts of the compact binary parameter space. We demonstrate how RIFT{} can be applied to binary neutron stars, both for parameter inference and direct constraints on the nuclear equation of state.
We investigate the precision with which the parameters describing the characteristics and location of nonspinning black hole binaries can be measured with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). By using complete waveforms including the inspiral, merger and ringdown portions of the signals, we find that LISA will have far greater precision than previous estimates for nonspinning mergers that ignored the merger and ringdown. Our analysis covers nonspinning waveforms with moderate mass ratios, q >= 1/10, and total masses 10^5 < M/M_{Sun} < 10^7. We compare the parameter uncertainties using the Fisher matrix formalism, and establish the significance of mass asymmetry and higher-order content to the predicted parameter uncertainties resulting from inclusion of the merger. In real-time observations, the later parts of the signal lead to significant improvements in sky-position precision in the last hours and even the final minutes of observation. For comparable mass systems with total mass M/M_{Sun} = ~10^6, we find that the increased precision resulting from including the merger is comparable to the increase in signal-to-noise ratio. For the most precise systems under investigation, half can be localized to within O(10 arcmin), and 10% can be localized to within O(1 arcmin).
We construct new, multivariate empirical relations for measuring neutron star radii and tidal deformabilities from the dominant gravitational wave frequency in the post-merger phase of binary neutron star mergers. The relations determine neutron star radii and tidal deformabilities for specific neutron star masses with consistent accuracy and depend only on two observables: the post-merger peak frequency $f_{rm peak}$ and the chirp mass $M_{rm chirp}$. The former could be measured with good accuracy from gravitational waves emitted in the post-merger phase using next-generation detectors, whereas the latter is already obtained with good accuracy from the inspiral phase with present-day detectors. Our main data set consists of a gravitational wave catalogue obtained with CFC/SPH simulations. We also extract the $f_{rm peak}$ frequency from the publicly available CoRe data set, obtained through grid-based GRHD simulations and find good agreement between the extracted frequencies of the two data sets. As a result, we can construct empirical relations for the combined data sets. Furthermore, we investigate empirical relations for two secondary peaks, $f_{2-0}$ and $f_{rm spiral}$, and show that these relations are distinct in the whole parameter space, in agreement with a previously introduced spectral classification scheme. Finally, we show that the spectral classification scheme can be reproduced using machine-learning techniques.
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