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Register a new userEarly warning of precessing compact binary merger with third-generation gravitational-wave detectors
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Rapid localization of gravitational-wave events is important for the success of the multi-messenger observations. The forthcoming improvements and constructions of gravitational-wave detectors will enable detecting and localizing compact-binary coalescence events even before mergers, which is called early warning. The performance of early warning can be improved by considering modulation of gravitational wave signal amplitude due to the Earth rotation and the precession of a binary orbital plane caused by the misaligned spins of compact objects. In this paper, for the first time we estimate localization precision in the early warning quantitatively, taking into account an orbital precession. We find that a neutron star-black hole binary at $z=0.1$ can typically be localized to $100,mathrm{deg}^2$ and $10,mathrm{deg^2}$ at the time of $12$ -- $15 ,mathrm{minutes}$ and $50$ -- $300,mathrm{seconds}$ before merger, respectively, which cannot be achieved without the precession effect.
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Since gravitational and electromagnetic waves from a compact binary coalescence carry independent information about the source, the joint observation is important for understanding the physical mechanisms of the emissions. Rapid detection and source localization of a gravitational wave signal are crucial for the joint observation to be successful. For a signal with a high signal-to-noise ratio, it is even possible to detect it before the merger, which is called early warning. In this letter, we estimate the performances of the early warning for neutron-star black-hole binaries, considering the precession effect of a binary orbit, with the near-future detectors such as A+, AdV+, KAGRA+, and Voyager. We find that a gravitational wave source can be localized in $100 ,mathrm{deg^2}$ on the sky before $sim 10$--$40 ,mathrm{s}$ of time to merger once per year.
The observation of gravitational wave signals from binary black hole mergers has established the field of gravitational wave astronomy. It is expected that future networks of gravitational wave detectors will possess great potential in probing various aspects of astronomy. An important consideration for successive improvement of current detectors or establishment on new sites is knowledge of the minimum number of detectors required to perform precision astronomy. We attempt to answer this question by assessing ability of future detector networks in detecting and localizing binary neutron stars mergers in the sky. This is an important aspect as a good localization ability is crucial for many of the scientific goals of gravitational wave astronomy, such as electromagnetic follow-up, measuring the properties of compact binaries throughout cosmic history, and cosmology. We find that although two detectors at improved sensitivity are sufficient to get a substantial increase in the number of observed signals, at least three detectors of comparable sensitivity are required to localize majority of the signals, typically to within around 10 deg$^{2}$ --- adequate for follow-up with most wide field of view optical telescopes.
Strong gravitational lensing is a gravitational wave (GW) propagation effect that influences the inferred GW source parameters and the cosmological environment. Identifying strongly-lensed GW images is challenging as waveform amplitude magnification is degenerate with a shift in the source intrinsic mass and redshift. However, even in the geometric-optics limit, type II strongly-lensed images cannot be fully matched by type I (or unlensed) waveform templates, especially with large binary mass ratios and orbital inclination angles. We propose to use this mismatch to distinguish individual type II images. Using planned noise spectra of Cosmic Explorer, Einstein Telescope and LIGO Voyager, we show that a significant fraction of type II images can be distinguished from unlensed sources, given sufficient SNR ($sim 30$). Incorporating models on GW source population and lens population, we predict that the yearly detection rate of lensed GW sources with detectable type II images is 172.2, 118.2 and 27.4 for CE, ET and LIGO Voyager, respectively. Among these detectable events, 33.1%, 7.3% and 0.22% will be distinguishable via their type II images with a log Bayes factor larger than 10. We conclude that such distinguishable events are likely to appear in the third-generation detector catalog; our strategy will significantly supplement existing strong lensing search strategies.
We optimize the third-generation gravitational-wave detector to maximize the range to detect core-collapse supernovae. Based on three-dimensional simulations for core-collapse and the corresponding gravitational-wave waveform emitted, the corresponding detection range for these waveforms is limited to within our galaxy even in the era of third-generation detectors. The corresponding event rate is two per century. We find from the waveforms that to detect core-collapse supernovae with an event rate of one per year, the gravitational-wave detectors need a strain sensitivity of 3$times10^{-27}~$Hz$^{-1/2}$ in a frequency range from 100~Hz to 1500~Hz. We also explore detector configurations technologically beyond the scope of third-generation detectors. We find with these improvements, the event rate for gravitational-wave observations from CCSN is still low, but is improved to one in twenty years.
Third-generation (3G) gravitational-wave (GW) detectors will be able to observe binary-black-hole mergers (BBHs) up to redshift of $sim 30$. This gives unprecedented access to the formation and evolution of BBHs throughout cosmic history. In this paper we consider three sub-populations of BBHs originating from the different evolutionary channels: isolated formation in galactic fields, dynamical formation in globular clusters and mergers of black holes formed from Population III (Pop III) stars at very high redshift. Using input from populations synthesis analyses, we created two months of simulated data of a network of 3G detectors made of two Cosmic Explorers and an Einstein Telescope, consisting of $sim16000$ field and cluster BBHs as well as $sim400$ Pop III BBHs. First, we show how one can use non-parametric models to infer the existence and characteristic of a primary and secondary peak in the merger rate distribution. In particular, the location and the height of the secondary peak around $zapprox 12$, arising from the merger of Pop III remnants, can be constrained at $mathcal{O}(10%)$ level. Then we perform a modeled analysis, using phenomenological templates for the merger rates of the three sub-population, and extract the branching ratios and the characteristic parameters of the merger rate densities of the individual formation channels. With this modeled method, the uncertainty on the measurement of the fraction of Pop III BBHs can be improved to $lesssim 10%$, while the ratio between field and cluster BBHs can be measured with an uncertainty of $sim 50%$.
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