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Register a new userAugmenting Adjusted Plus-Minus in Soccer with FIFA Ratings
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Lee Richardson
Publication date
2018
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Mathematical Statistics
and research's language is
English
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In basketball and hockey, state-of-the-art player value statistics are often variants of Adjusted Plus-Minus (APM). But APM hasnt had the same impact in soccer, since soccer games are low scoring with a low number of substitutions. In soccer, perhaps the most comprehensive player value statistics come from video games, and in particular FIFA. FIFA ratings combine the subjective evaluations of over 9000 scouts, coaches, and season-ticket holders into ratings for over 18,000 players. This paper combines FIFA ratings and APM into a single metric, which we call Augmented APM. The key idea is recasting APM into a Bayesian framework, and incorporating FIFA ratings into the prior distribution. We show that Augmented APM predicts better than both standard APM and a model using only FIFA ratings. We also show that Augmented APM decorrelates players that are highly collinear.
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Recent theoretical advances applied to metamaterials have opened new avenues to design a coating that hides objects from electromagnetic radiation and even the sight. Here, we propose a new design of cloaking devices that creates perfect invisibility in isotropic media. A combination of positive and negative refractive indices, called plus-minus construction, is essential to achieve perfect invisibility (i.e., no time delay and total absence of reflection). Contrary to the common understanding that between two isotropic materials having different refractive indices the electromagnetic reflection is unavoidable, our method shows that surprisingly the reflection phenomena can be completely eliminated. The invented method, different from the classical impedance matching, may also find electromagnetic applications outside of cloaking devices, wherever distortions are present arising from reflections.
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