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Joint Belief and Intent Prediction for Collision Avoidance in Autonomous Vehicles

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 Added by Alan Hamlet
 Publication date 2015
and research's language is English




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This paper describes a novel method for allowing an autonomous ground vehicle to predict the intent of other agents in an urban environment. This method, termed the cognitive driving framework, models both the intent and the potentially false beliefs of an obstacle vehicle. By modeling the relationships between these variables as a dynamic Bayesian network, filtering can be performed to calculate the intent of the obstacle vehicle as well as its belief about the environment. This joint knowledge can be exploited to plan safer and more efficient trajectories when navigating in an urban environment. Simulation results are presented that demonstrate the ability of the proposed method to calculate the intent of obstacle vehicles as an autonomous vehicle navigates a road intersection such that preventative maneuvers can be taken to avoid imminent collisions.



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Prior research has extensively explored Autonomous Vehicle (AV) navigation in the presence of other vehicles, however, navigation among pedestrians, who are the most vulnerable element in urban environments, has been less examined. This paper explores AV navigation in crowded, unsignalized intersections. We compare the performance of different deep reinforcement learning methods trained on our reward function and state representation. The performance of these methods and a standard rule-based approach were evaluated in two ways, first at the unsignalized intersection on which the methods were trained, and secondly at an unknown unsignalized intersection with a different topology. For both scenarios, the rule-based method achieves less than 40% collision-free episodes, whereas our methods result in a performance of approximately 100%. Of the three methods used, DDQN/PER outperforms the other two methods while it also shows the smallest average intersection crossing time, the greatest average speed, and the greatest distance from the closest pedestrian.
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123 - Xu Xie , Chi Zhang , Yixin Zhu 2021
Predicting agents future trajectories plays a crucial role in modern AI systems, yet it is challenging due to intricate interactions exhibited in multi-agent systems, especially when it comes to collision avoidance. To address this challenge, we propose to learn congestion patterns as contextual cues explicitly and devise a novel Sense--Learn--Reason--Predict framework by exploiting advantages of three different doctrines of thought, which yields the following desirable benefits: (i) Representing congestion as contextual cues via latent factors subsumes the concept of social force commonly used in physics-based approaches and implicitly encodes the distance as a cost, similar to the way a planning-based method models the environment. (ii) By decomposing the learning phases into two stages, a student can learn contextual cues from a teacher while generating collision-free trajectories. To make the framework computationally tractable, we formulate it as an optimization problem and derive an upper bound by leveraging the variational parametrization. In experiments, we demonstrate that the proposed model is able to generate collision-free trajectory predictions in a synthetic dataset designed for collision avoidance evaluation and remains competitive on the commonly used NGSIM US-101 highway dataset.
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