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Register a new userOscillating epidemics in a dynamic network model: stochastic and mean-field analysis
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An adaptive network model using SIS epidemic propagation with link-type dependent link activation and deletion is considered. Bifurcation analysis of the pairwise ODE approximation and the network-based stochastic simulation is carried out, showing that three typical behaviours may occur; namely, oscillations can be observed besides disease-free or endemic steady states. The oscillatory behaviour in the stochastic simulations is studied using Fourier analysis, as well as through analysing the exact master equations of the stochastic model. A compact pairwise approximation for the dynamic network case is also developed and, for the case of link-type independent rewiring, the outcome of epidemics and changes in network structure are concurrently presented in a single bifurcation diagram. By going beyond simply comparing simulation results to mean-field models, our approach yields deeper insights into the observed phenomena and help better understand and map out the limitations of mean-field models.
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We derive asymptotic properties for a stochastic dynamic network model in a stochastic dynamic population. In the model, nodes give birth to new nodes until they die, each node being equipped with a social index given at birth. During the life of a node it creates edges to other nodes, nodes with high social index at higher rate, and edges disappear randomly in time. For this model we derive criterion for when a giant connected component exists after the process has evolved for a long period of time, assuming the node population grows to infinity. We also obtain an explicit expression for the degree correlation $rho$ (of neighbouring nodes) which shows that $rho$ is always positive irrespective of parameter values in one of the two treated submodels, and may be either positive or negative in the other model, depending on the parameters.
This paper shows the equivalence class definition of graphons hinders a direct development of dynamics on the graphon space, and hence proposes a state-driven approach to obtain dynamic graphons. The state-driven dynamic graphon model constructs a time-index sequence of the permutation-invariant probability measures on the universal graph space by assigning i.i.d. state random processes to $mathbbm{N}$ and edge random variables to each of the unordered integer pairs. The model is justified from three perspectives: graph limit definition preservation, genericity, and analysis availability. It preserves the graph limit definition of graphon by applying a bijection between the permutation-invariant probability measures on the universal graph space and the graphon space to obtain the dynamic graphon, where the existence of the bijection is proved. Also, a generalized version of the model is proved to cover the graphon space by an application of the celebrated Aldous-Hoover representation, where generalization is achieved by adding randomness to the edge-generating functions. Finally, analysis of the behavior of the dynamic graphon is shown to be available by making assumptions on the state random processes and the edge random variables.
Mathematical mean-field approaches play an important role in different fields of Physics and Chemistry, but have found in recent works also their application in Economics, Finance and Game Theory. The objective of our paper is to investigate a special mean-field problem in a purely stochastic approach: for the solution $(Y,Z)$ of a mean-field backward stochastic differential equation driven by a forward stochastic differential of McKean--Vlasov type with solution $X$ we study a special approximation by the solution $(X^N,Y^N,Z^N)$ of some decoupled forward--backward equation which coefficients are governed by $N$ independent copies of $(X^N,Y^N,Z^N)$. We show that the convergence speed of this approximation is of order $1/sqrt{N}$. Moreover, our special choice of the approximation allows to characterize the limit behavior of $sqrt{N}(X^N-X,Y^N-Y,Z^N-Z)$. We prove that this triplet converges in law to the solution of some forward--backward stochastic differential equation of mean-field type, which is not only governed by a Brownian motion but also by an independent Gaussian field.
The purpose of this note is to provide an existence result for the solution of fully coupled Forward Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (FBSDEs) of the mean field type. These equations occur in the study of mean field games and the optimal control of dynamics of the McKean Vlasov type.
We characterize the phase space for the infinite volume limit of a ferromagnetic mean-field XY model in a random field pointing in one direction with two symmetric values. We determine the stationary solutions and detect possible phase transitions in the interaction strength for fixed random field intensity. We show that at low temperature magnetic ordering appears perpendicularly to the field. The latter situation corresponds to a spin-flop transition.
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