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Register a new userThe Sensitivity of the Parkes Pulsar Timing Array to Individual Sources of Gravitational Waves
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We present the sensitivity of the Parkes Pulsar Timing Array to gravitational waves emitted by individual super-massive black-hole binary systems in the early phases of coalescing at the cores of merged galaxies. Our analysis includes a detailed study of the effects of fitting a pulsar timing model to non-white timing residuals. Pulsar timing is sensitive at nanoHertz frequencies and hence complementary to LIGO and LISA. We place a sky-averaged constraint on the merger rate of nearby ($z < 0.6$) black-hole binaries in the early phases of coalescence with a chirp mass of $10^{10},rmn{M}_odot$ of less than one merger every seven years. The prospects for future gravitational-wave astronomy of this type with the proposed Square Kilometre Array telescope are discussed.
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Anisotropic bursts of gravitational radiation produced by events such as super-massive black hole mergers leave permanent imprints on space. Such gravitational wave memory (GWM) signals are, in principle, detectable through pulsar timing as sudden changes in the apparent pulse frequency of a pulsar. If an array of pulsars is monitored as a GWM signal passes over the Earth, the pulsars would simultaneously appear to change pulse frequency by an amount that varies with their sky position in a quadrupolar fashion. Here we describe a search algorithm for such events and apply the algorithm to approximately six years of data from the Parkes Pulsar Timing Array. We find no GWM events and set an upper bound on the rate for events which could have been detected. We show, using simple models of black hole coalescence rates, that this non-detection is not unexpected.
The Parkes Pulsar Timing Array project aims to make a direct detection of a gravitational-wave background through timing of millisecond pulsars. In this article, the main requirements for that endeavour are described and recent and ongoing progress is outlined. We demonstrate that the timing properties of millisecond pulsars are adequate and that technological progress is timely to expect a successful detection of gravitational waves within a decade, or alternatively to rule out all current predictions for gravitational wave backgrounds formed by supermassive black-hole mergers.
A pulsar timing array (PTA), in which observations of a large sample of pulsars spread across the celestial sphere are combined, allows investigation of global phenomena such as a background of gravitational waves or instabilities in atomic timescales that produce correlated timing residuals in the pulsars of the array. The Parkes Pulsar Timing Array (PPTA) is an implementation of the PTA concept based on observations with the Parkes 64-m radio telescope. A sample of 20 millisecond pulsars is being observed at three radio-frequency bands, 50cm (~700 MHz), 20cm (~1400 MHz) and 10cm (~3100 MHz), with observations at intervals of 2 - 3 weeks. Regular observations commenced in early 2005. This paper describes the systems used for the PPTA observations and data processing, including calibration and timing analysis. The strategy behind the choice of pulsars, observing parameters and analysis methods is discussed. Results are presented for PPTA data in the three bands taken between 2005 March and 2011 March. For ten of the 20 pulsars, rms timing residuals are less than 1 microsec for the best band after fitting for pulse frequency and its first time derivative. Significant red timing noise is detected in about half of the sample. We discuss the implications of these results on future projects including the International Pulsar Timing Array (IPTA) and a PTA based on the Square Kilometre Array. We also present an extended PPTA data set that combines PPTA data with earlier Parkes timing data for these pulsars.
We search for isotropic stochastic gravitational-wave background including non-tensorial polarizations allowed in general metric theories of gravity in the Parkes Pulsar Timing Array (PPTA) second data release (DR2). We find no statistically significant evidence that the common process reported by the PPTA collaboration has the tensor transverse (TT), scalar transverse (ST), vector longitudinal (VL), or scalar longitudinal (SL) correlations in PPTA DR2. Therefore, we place $95%$ upper limit on the amplitude of each polarization mode as $mathcal{A}_{mathrm{TT}} lesssim 3.2times 10^{-15}$, $mathcal{A}_{mathrm{ST}} lesssim 1.8times 10^{-15}$, $mathcal{A}_{mathrm{VL}}lesssim 3.5times 10^{-16}$ and $mathcal{A}_{mathrm{SL}}lesssim 4.2times 10^{-17}$; or equivalently, the $95%$ upper limit on the energy density parameter per logarithm frequency as $Omega_{mathrm{GW}}^{mathrm{TT}} lesssim 1.4times 10^{-8}$, $Omega_{mathrm{GW}}^{mathrm{ST}} lesssim 4.5times 10^{-9}$, $Omega_{mathrm{GW}}^{mathrm{VL}} lesssim 1.7times 10^{-10}$ and $Omega_{mathrm{GW}}^{mathrm{SL}} lesssim 2.4times 10^{-12}$ at frequency of 1/year.
Decade-long timing observations of arrays of millisecond pulsars have placed highly constraining upper limits on the amplitude of the nanohertz gravitational-wave stochastic signal from the mergers of supermassive black-hole binaries ($sim 10^{-15}$ strain at $f = 1/mathrm{yr}$). These limits suggest that binary merger rates have been overestimated, or that environmental influences from nuclear gas or stars accelerate orbital decay, reducing the gravitational-wave signal at the lowest, most sensitive frequencies. This prompts the question whether nanohertz gravitational waves are likely to be detected in the near future. In this letter, we answer this question quantitatively using simple statistical estimates, deriving the range of true signal amplitudes that are compatible with current upper limits, and computing expected detection probabilities as a function of observation time. We conclude that small arrays consisting of the pulsars with the least timing noise, which yield the tightest upper limits, have discouraging prospects of making a detection in the next two decades. By contrast, we find large arrays are crucial to detection because the quadrupolar spatial correlations induced by gravitational waves can be well sampled by many pulsar pairs. Indeed, timing programs which monitor a large and expanding set of pulsars have an $sim 80%$ probability of detecting gravitational waves within the next ten years, under assumptions on merger rates and environmental influences ranging from optimistic to conservative. Even in the extreme case where $90%$ of binaries stall before merger and environmental coupling effects diminish low-frequency gravitational-wave power, detection is delayed by at most a few years.
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